$ETH , to be honest, no matter how precise the technical indicators are, you still need some luck in this market. Last night, I followed the strategy of an industry expert and went heavy on ETH long positions. When I checked my account this morning, I was stunned—a single position had an unrealized profit of $60,000. I immediately took profit on 25% to secure the gains, and I'm holding the rest to bet on further upside. Looking at the current market, the short-term target is first the 3300 round number; if it can break through with volume, 3350 is the next stop. If 3350 holds without a pullback, then 3530 could be in play. At this point, I personally lean bullish, but it's important to manage position sizing and not get carried away. Recently, whale addresses have been very active, so there could be more moves ahead.

$ETH is currently below the 8h trendline and has not broken through yet. We need to watch the US stock market tonight. If there is a rally and pullback around the top of the 15-minute small range at 3160~3175, you can try shorting. If the 15-minute candle does not close back below this level, it's highly likely to head to 3260, or even 3370. Keep a close eye on the market tonight; it’s full of uncertainty.

Let’s just chat casually today—have you noticed something interesting? The crypto world isn’t actually as complicated as everyone thinks. If you just stick with BTC and ETH, don’t bother with anything else, you’ll outperform the vast majority of people in the market. What’s even more surprising is—even if you keep losing along the way, just focusing on these two mainstream coins, the speed at which you lose is much slower than those chasing altcoins, meme coins, or trading with leverage. The latter group is basically on a “return-to-zero” trajectory. All those flashy strategies—making money is only temporary. Once you start losing? The speed is terrifying. With this round of ZEC, ZEN, DASH, how many people got trapped again? On the other hand, with BTC and ETH, as long as you can do a few things: catch the relative swings, grasp the big cycles, and set proper take-profit and stop-loss points—it’s actually pretty hard to lose to the point of numbness. But the problem is, a lot of people just refuse to accept reality. When they lose, they complain about the industry being unfair or about bad luck, and never reflect on themselves. Even when altcoins have already dragged them into the mud, they still think “going back to BTC/ETH is too hard”—not realizing that stubbornly holding altcoins will only drag them down further, eventually hitting rock bottom. What’s even crazier is that some people lose everything and still don’t wake up, not even understanding why they lost so much in this market. At the end of the day, you have to learn to do subtraction.