1-hour bearish trend is clear. Price surged down from highs with volume, continuously breaking below the Bollinger Band lower rail and short-term multiple moving averages. Short-term bearish trend is established. Current weak bounce is pressured by moving averages with sustained volume contraction, representing a correction bounce within a downtrend with no momentum. KDJ shows minor recovery but remains below 50 with no reversal signal, only technical oversold correction. Price refreshed lows at 70456. The bounce failed to recover the midpoint of the large bearish candle, meeting heavy selling pressure. High probability of continued decline. Strategy: Continue shorting rallies as the main approach, no bottom fishing. BTC: Short 71500-72300 in batches, targets 70400/69000/68000. ETH follows BTC accordingly. $BTC $ETH

Federal Reserve Decision Triggers Volatility, Watch for 2050 Support Breakthrough I. Core Market News Last night, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged. The market had anticipated the decision outcome, with selling pressure from above released ahead of time. Combined with unresolved Middle East tensions causing macroeconomic uncertainty, a stronger US dollar is suppressing risk assets and putting short-term pressure on ETH. However, it's important to note that this pullback is a short-term fluctuation driven by news, and has not yet altered the market's recognition logic for the long-term value of crypto assets. II. Technical Analysis in Depth 1. Trend and Range: ETH rallied to $2385.78 then pulled back, currently oscillating in the $2180-2220 range with notable resistance above. From a channel structure perspective, the price has not yet broken below the lower bound of the uptrend channel, representing normal adjustment within the trend. 2. Key Levels: Strong support below points directly to $2050, which is a previous area of dense transaction activity and a key defense line for bulls. If broken, it could open downside space. The $2220 level above is the upper bound of the oscillation range; breakthrough is needed before bulls can mount a strong counterattack. 3. Indicator Signals: MACD indicator continues bearish momentum with DEA and DIF in negative territory, indicating weak near-term bullish strength. Trading volume expanded during the pullback, reflecting selling sentiment, but caution is warranted for stabilization signals following volume contraction. In the moving average system, short-term MAs have turned downward while medium to long-term MAs remain upward, showing a divergence between short-term weakness and medium-term bullish bias. III. Operating Strategy and Risk Warnings Operating Suggestions Core Strategy: Primary focus on selling rallies, participate in range oscillation with light positions, maintain strict position control. Entry Points: Light shorting on rebounds to the 2200-2220 range, targeting 2150-2100; when exploring near 2050, if stabilized, attempt short longs with quick entries and exits. Risk Management: Set stop loss for shorts above 2230, strictly control stop loss for longs below 2040, avoiding deep losses. Risk Warnings Continuously monitor subsequent Federal Reserve policy statements, potential escalation of geopolitical conflicts, and transmission of US stock volatility to market sentiment. Short-term volatility may intensify; strictly adhere to trading discipline and avoid leverage risks#ETH