Do we even need to say more about this move? Any single order can easily give you thousands of points of “space.” Last week, I already explained it very clearly: If it doesn’t break above and isn’t stable, then it’s a short. In the early session, I also kept reminding everyone: Stay with the high short—don’t waver. And what everyone has seen for themselves: “Big Pie” has been sliding all the way down from above 79,200—the price action has already written the answer out in plain sight. Is this just talking after the fact? Check your own records. I don’t play games—I only talk logic, give levels, Speak with strength, verify with results. Follow the pace, and the market will naturally be on your side.#加密市场普遍上涨 #以太坊基金会解质押约4890万美元ETH #Aave联合多方启动rsETH全额资产修复计划 $BTC $ETH

$TRUMP at $2.55, do you want to buy the dip? Trump just shouted "Make America the crypto capital" at the Florida crypto conference, the White House working group is working overtime to push legislation, family projects are also underway—but what about the price? It’s down 4% in 24 hours, over 10% in 7 days, dropping straight from 2.90 to 2.55, with trading volume decreasing and large holders closing 3% of their positions at once, while the project team transferred 15.54 million TRUMP to exchanges. First, look at the surface: political narrative is full throttle, but the price has become dog shit. In the past 24 hours, TRUMP’s price fluctuated 4%, dropping from above 2.90 straight below 2.60. Don’t fool yourself with “Trump calls the shots”—the candlestick chart shows all moving averages are dead crosses bearish, RSI across three periods is below 50, MACD is on the floor, and the technicals are screaming: the downtrend isn’t over, don’t reach out. First thing: political endorsement, the market no longer buys it. Trump shouted himself hoarse at the crypto conference, and the White House working group is actively pushing regulatory bills. But what’s the result? Good news comes out, and the price keeps falling. This shows the marginal effect has diminished to zero. Second thing: big players are fleeing, the team is also selling. This isn’t conspiracy theory, it’s on-chain data. A big holder directly closed 3% of their position, and the project team transferred 15.54 million TRUMP to exchanges. If insiders are selling, why are you still buying? Circulating supply is only 23% unlocked, FDV is as high as $2.6 billion, and 70% of tokens are still waiting to be unlocked. Third thing: the overall market is rising, but it’s falling. BTC has gained 13% this month, surpassing 78,000, ETH and SOL are recovering. The market is bottoming out and rebounding, but funds in the political meme sector are fleeing. TRUMP, as a high-beta meme, used to surge with the market; now, when the market rises, it falls. On one side: presidential calls, political narrative, regulatory expectations. On the other: big holders selling, team transfers, technical signals strongly indicating sell-off. Key level: 2.50, the last line of defense. Heavy holders: immediately reduce holdings to 30-50%, set stop-loss at 2.48, and exit if broken. Holders or those wanting to buy the dip: stop messing around. Wait for these three signals: 1. Price stabilizes at 2.50 with volume increase and bullish candle; 2. BTC stabilizes above 80,000, driving meme sector-wide rally; 3. Trump signs a major crypto bill. For short-term gambling: Rebound to 2.68-2.70 with light short positions, target 2.50, stop-loss at 2.75. If it breaks 2.48, lightly bet on a rebound, no more than 5% position, target 2.65-2.70. Meme coins are always slaves to sentiment. When even the president’s own calls can’t move the market, it means sentiment is dead. Sentiment-dead meme coins are more terrifying than blockchain projects without narratives—at least blockchains have technology, meme coins only have faith, and when that faith collapses, it’s an endless abyss. #加密市场普遍上涨 $TRUMP

The morning phase Bitcoin (BTC) moved around the high-level range, with the market gradually raising its center of gravity after repeatedly consolidating around 78,000. The upward move peaked near 79,450 but faced resistance. Although there was a pullback, the overall structure remained relatively strong; subsequent attempts to push higher repeatedly failed, and the buying momentum weakened. Selling pressure gradually eased, and the market shifted from a high position into a continuous downward trend. After breaking below key support, it accelerated downward, with the low point retracing to around 77,400 before signs of stabilization appeared. The overall trend then entered a low-range consolidation, with the center of gravity clearly shifting downward. Ethereum (ETH) moved in sync, initially oscillating upward around 2,360, reaching above 2,400 but facing resistance. It then followed Bitcoin into a continuous decline, with the low point retracing to around 2,307. Currently, ETH remains in a sideways consolidation at low levels, with the overall rhythm consistent with Bitcoin, both showing a transition from strength to weakness. From the current market structure perspective, Bitcoin’s four-hour chart shows a clear stagnation pattern formed in the previous high-level zone, with multiple attempts to push higher failing to continue. The candlesticks gradually shifted to a predominantly bearish (closing lower) arrangement, and the price has fallen back below the short-term moving average system, indicating that selling pressure above has begun to dominate the market. Structurally, the market has shifted from a strong phase to a relatively weak operation. The key resistance on the four-hour chart is concentrated around 78,500, which is both a dense consolidation zone and a resistance level after a breakdown. If the rebound cannot stabilize above this level, the bearish structure will continue. Support below is at around 77,400; if this level is broken again, the four-hour chart will further open downward space. On the one-hour cycle, the market is in a low-level sideways consolidation, with a weak rebound rhythm and successive lower highs, typical of a weak correction structure. Short-term rebounds are more likely to serve as secondary entry points for bears. Ethereum’s four-hour chart also shows a weakening pattern after failed attempts to rise, with resistance around 2,350. The one-hour rebound lacks continuation, and the structure remains weak. Overall, the current market has completed a rhythm shift, with a clear trading strategy focused on shorting, prioritizing waiting for rebounds to the four-hour resistance zone for phased short entries. #比特币突破7.9万美元 $BTC