Wake up and have a snack, more than two thousand points $BTC ‌$ETH

On the morning of Friday, March 6th, BTC/ETH sharing session From a 1-hour perspective, the short-term market is most likely to start with a rebound correction, followed by another decline due to resistance. During the oscillating downward process, although there will be slight rebounds, the overall trend shows gradually decreasing highs and continuously refreshing lows, which is a normal technical adjustment in a downtrend. Each rebound creates space that could accumulate new momentum for the bears. The subsequent trend is likely to continue with a weak rhythm of one rebound followed by a new low, with the bearish forces still dominating the overall situation. Trading suggestions: Bitcoin (BTC) in the 71,200-71,700 range, buy with a target of 68,900 Ethereum (ETH) in the 2,090-2,110 range, buy with a target of 1,970

The Federal Reserve has a 97.3% probability of not cutting interest rates｜Impact on the crypto market (summary points) According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve by March is 2.7%, with a 97.3% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 12.5%, with an 87.3% chance of no change, and a 0.3% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 30.7%. 1. Key Conclusions Short-term: Neutral to stable, no clear bearish signals; medium-term: suppressing a major bull run, mainly volatile 2. Direct Impacts - Sentiment: Expectations are being realized, panic easing, BTC/mainstream coins mainly range-bound - Capital: US dollar liquidity remains tight, limited institutional inflow, hard to see major trend upward - Leverage: High interest rates persist, high-leverage contracts are prone to liquidation, volatility will amplify 3. Key Time Point Impacts - March: Almost certain no rate cut → sideways consolidation - April: Low probability of rate cut (≈12.5%) → continue bottoming out - June: Rate cut expectations rise (≈30.7%) → potential rebound window 4. Trading Recommendations - Short-term: Buy low, sell high, strictly control positions, avoid chasing highs - Mid-term: Wait until June rate cut signals are clearer before increasing allocations - Risk aversion: Minimize high-leverage positions and small-cap coins