在即将到来的 12 月 10 日美联储 FOMC 会议上，市场普遍预期将降息 25 个基点，将利率区间调整至 3.50%—3.75%。当前降息概率高达 87.2%，若如期降息，风险资产可能获得提振，加密市场或迎来短线反弹。但若出现鹰派意外，则可能抑制资金流入，尤其是在比特币近 90 天累计下跌 20% 的背景下。
在政策预期驱动下，市场分析重点指出三种可能受益于降息的山寨币：FARTCOIN、比特币现金（BCH）与 Double Zero（2Z）。
FARTCOIN 上周表现亮眼，在整体市场疲软中录得 32% 的周涨幅，当前交易区间维持在 0.404 美元附近。RSI 位于中性线之上，显示买盘动能依然稳健。若情绪进一步改善，FARTCOIN 有望突破 0.417 美元并尝试冲击 0.470 美元。但若降息未能推动市场反弹或情绪转弱，价格可能跌破 0.358 美元，并回探 0.320 美元至 0.280 美元区间。
比特币现金（BCH）同样表现坚挺，上周上涨约 11%。作为比特币生态的主要分支资产，其价格往往与 BTC 强相关，因此 BTC 的政策驱动反弹可能直接带动 BCH。Parabolic SAR 指标显示上涨趋势完好，若能稳固 593 美元支撑区间，BCH 可能进一步上涨至 624 美元。但若获利盘涌现并跌破关键支撑，其价格可能快速回落至 555 美元。
Double Zero（2Z）也在市场升温中录得 21% 周涨幅，并跻身前 100 加密资产。目前 2Z 价格为 0.1382 美元，接近 0.1433 美元阻力位。MACD 显示上行动能增强，若降息带来更强市场买盘，2Z 有机会突破阻力并上探 0.1581 美元。但若情绪转弱，价格可能回落至 0.1296 美元甚至 0.1199 美元。
随着市场进一步押注美联储政策转向，短期资金或将在利率决议前后加速流向波动性更强的山寨币，而以上三种代币因技术面与市场情绪改善的叠加，正成为交易员重点关注的资产。（BeinCrypto）
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