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First, to conclude, #事件合约 is suitable for those with a main force mindset, strict position control, neither arrogant nor impatient, people with limited capital who play until they reach their goal and then switch to $BTC $ETH for stable profits.
Many people say event contracts are gambling, I don't argue, but I want to tell you there is still a glimmer of hope. To elaborate:
Why is it called gambling? Because the market itself is inherently unpredictable; no matter how skilled you are, it's impossible. Have you done enough review, dissected the candlestick charts carefully, combined them to analyze, and found the turning point for a trend reversal? Do you understand the current main theme from a big-picture perspective, or are you just following the direction as the candlesticks sway? These are basic skills; you can only seek inward, no one can help you. Transitioning to contracts later on is also essential. I collectively call these the main force mindset, and with this, the win rate is generally between 60% and 70%.
Next, let's talk about position control, which is equally critical. No matter how high your win rate is, if you do it poorly, it’s useless. I won't elaborate on Martingale here. Playing event contracts requires strict position control. For example, if you only have 400 USD, then each trade should be 10 USD; it's up to you, but I think at most 20 USD. Then, with 440 USD, 11 USD, gradually compounding.
Secondly, avoid arrogance and impatience. Don't get cocky after a win, stay disciplined because you will inevitably have losing streaks. How proud you feel after a win, you will feel just as painful after a loss. Eventually, emotional trading leads to increasing positions, continuing to lose, going all-in—dead! Moreover, in this irrational state, you're just doing it for the sake of doing, unable to calmly wait, with unstable and extremely low win rates, easily trapped by obsession. This is a hurdle you must overcome.
Once you meet these three conditions, stable compound growth is basically guaranteed, just a matter of time. After that, you can choose to continue with event contracts or switch to futures to climb higher. After all, event contracts have limitations (5 trades, each up to 250 USD). At this point, you'll find trading futures really comfortable. You can do ultra-short trades very skillfully, and with some adaptation, you can also do medium- and long-term trades because candlestick levels are nested. To do well in medium- and long-term trading, you need a solid ultra-short foundation. If you have time, monitor the market and do short-term trades; if not, do medium- and long-term trades—very flexible. This is just my personal opinion, for reference only!