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1️⃣ US Policy Favorable (Most Direct Catalyst)
• Trump Supports Cryptocurrency Regulation Bill: Publicly criticizes the banking sector for obstructing the GENIUS Act, urges Congress to pass the CLARITY Act as soon as possible to clarify the regulatory framework for the crypto market.
• CFTC Chairman's Message: Supports the CLARITY Act, announces the upcoming launch of US perpetual crypto futures, opening channels for institutional participation.
• Stablecoin Regulation Progress: White House advisors rebut bank criticisms of stablecoins, boosting expectations for stablecoin compliance.
2️⃣ Technical + Fund Flow Resonance
• Oversold Rebound + Key Support Buying: BTC previously dropped to $63,000, ETH to $1,842, touching strong support, with bottom-fishing funds entering the market.
• Contract Short Squeeze: Over $447 million in liquidations in 24 hours, $280 million in short liquidations, accelerating the rally as short sellers are forced to cover.
• Strong On-Chain ETH Data: 837,000 daily active addresses hit a ten-year high, with 284,800 new wallets daily, on-chain activity supporting prices.
3️⃣ Macro and Geopolitical (Sentiment + Safe-Haven)
• US Dollar Index Weakens: The dollar experiences a phase correction, directly benefiting dollar-denominated crypto assets.
• Middle East Tensions Easing Marginally: US-Iran conflict does not escalate further, market concerns ease, risk appetite rises.
• Dual Rise in Safe-Haven + Risk Appetite: Funds flow into both BTC (high elasticity) and gold (safe-haven), creating resonance.
4️⃣ Institutions and Expectations
• ETF Funds Reflow: US spot BTC ETF funds shift from outflow to inflow, institutions re-enter the market.
• Halving Expectations Foment: BTC halving in April approaches, markets are trading in anticipation of the "halving rally."
• Wall Street Bullish: JPMorgan expects the CLARITY Act to pass by mid-year, bringing large-scale institutional capital influx. $ETH
BTC
+5.99%
ETH
+6.94%
Abrarul09
2026-03-04 16:31
Matrixport Whale-Linked ETH and BTC Long Positions Currently Up Over $22 Million
As of March 5, LookOnChain monitoring shows that amid a market rally, whales affiliated with Matrixport currently hold long positions of 120,000 ETH (valued at $2.587 billion) and 650 BTC (valued at $47.7 million), with unrealized profits exceeding $22 million.
ETH
+6.94%
BTC
+5.99%
十一
2026-03-04 16:30
【$COOKIE Signal】Long - 1H Pullback Confirmation, Negative Funding Rate Short Squeeze Imminent
$COOKIE The 1H timeframe has experienced a massive rally and is now undergoing a healthy pullback, with the price approaching the optimized entry zone. The 4H timeframe has broken through the previous consolidation platform with increased volume, indicating a shift to bullish momentum. Currently, the negative funding rate is as high as -0.058%, but open interest remains stable, and the price is refusing to drop sharply. This is a typical sign of a short squeeze, with bears paying high costs. Once buying pressure intensifies, a rapid surge is highly likely.
🎯 Direction: Long
⚡ Entry/Order: 0.0209 - 0.0213
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.0200
🚀 Target 1: 0.0238
🚀 Target 2: 0.0255
🛡️ Trading Management:
- Execution Strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50% and lock in profits. Simultaneously, move the stop loss of the remaining position up to the entry price. If the price strongly breaks through Target 2, move the stop loss up to near Target 1 to capture a larger trend.
Deep Logic: The 1-hour RSI has fallen from overbought territory back to around 63, building momentum for another upward move. The 4-hour RSI is in a strong zone, confirming medium-term momentum. Market depth data shows that buy orders below 0.0220 are unusually thick, forming a strong support cushion. Although the latest 1-hour candlestick shows a decrease in buy order ratio, this is normal profit-taking after a sharp rise, and the price has not broken below key EMA support. Combined with the negative funding rate and stable open interest, the main force’s support intention is clear, and a pullback presents an opportunity.
View real-time market 👇 $COOKIE
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