Bitcoin is currently trading near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bearish volume bars gradually increasing. The DIF line has already fallen below the DEA line, forming a downward death cross, indicating that the short-term upward trend has temporarily come to an end. If the price rebounds to the 74,900 to 75,500 range and meets resistance, you can short, with a target near 73,800～73,700. If it breaks through, look toward 73,300～73,000. It is recommended to enter short positions near 74,900 to 75,500, with targets near 73,800 to 73,700. If it breaks through, look toward 73,300 to 73,000. If 73,000 does not break, consider reversing to go long. The above analysis is my personal opinion. Market conditions change rapidly. The strategy is for reference only. Keep your stop-loss and take-profit set：#比特币 #比特币 $BTC

Pepe has become the hottest coin today. The overall market, BTC and ETH, are both down 2%, but Pepe hasn’t followed the drop, and its trading volume has even increased by another chunk. In this kind of situation, coins with smaller market caps are more likely to have independent moves, but meme coins come fast and go even faster—don’t go all-in and bet #PEPE $PEPE .

$BTC Entry zone: 75200-75500. This position is the overlap area of the upper boundary of the liquidity support band and the BOS resistance from the earlier phase. It is also the place where sell pressure from trapped positions is most concentrated. When the price reaches here, it will most likely face resistance and pull back—this is the highest win-rate entry point right now. Stop-loss: 76100. This level is just above the second-highest rebound in the recent 4 hours. As long as the price does not break through this point, the weak downside structure will not be damaged. The stop-loss space is only 600-900 points—nearly half of what it was before—so it avoids unnecessary capital lock-up while filtering out most false breakouts. Take-profit: For the first target, directly look at 73000, which is the lower boundary of the current weak support zone. When the price gets here, it will find support; take 70% of the position off at this level to lock in profits. If the price subsequently breaks down and effectively falls below 73000, the downside momentum will release further—then look at the extended target of 71500 and close the remaining position to hold onto trend profits. This plan is, under the current structure, the best choice in terms of balancing win rate and risk-reward ratio: it fully follows the 4-hour weak downtrend, without going against the trend, while keeping the stop-loss within a reasonable range. It avoids unnecessary risks and preserves sufficient profit potential. If the price does not rebound back into the entry zone and instead breaks below 73800 directly, give up this opportunity—don’t chase shorts. The risk-reward ratio of chasing shorts is too poor, so it’s not worth doing. #美伊局势和谈与增兵博弈 ‌