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【TAUSDT Signal】Long: Healthy Pullback After Massive Breakout, Main Force Washing Intention Clear
A historic massive volume breakout appeared at the 4H level. On March 15, 04:00-08:00, two 4H K-lines recorded trading volumes of 67.06 million and 119 million respectively, far exceeding the normal 2 million level. Price surged from 0.0447 to 0.05238, a gain exceeding 17%. This is typical violent capital position building behavior.
Current price has retraced from the high of 0.05331 to around 0.0487, testing the first support zone after breakthrough. Key evidence chain: 1) Pullback with volume contraction: The 16:00 4H K-line, though bearish, recorded trading volume of 17.46 million, contracting over 85% compared to the previous two massive bullish candles, selling pressure exhausted. 2) Order book support: Buying orders accumulate heavily in the 0.0486-0.0487 range with cumulative orders exceeding 53,000, forming a solid defense line. 3) Structure support: Current price is above 4H EMA20 (0.0466) and 1H EMA50 (0.0471), and pullback failed to break the midpoint of the previous massive bullish candle body (approximately 0.0485).
Open Interest (OI) remains stable at the high of 103 million, not declining with the price pullback, indicating the bullish main force that entered early morning has not exited, only short-term profit-taking positions closed. Under positive funding rate environment (0.0194%), short position costs continue to increase.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry: 0.0480 - 0.0486 (relying on dense buying orders below)
🛑Stop Loss: 0.0461 (breaking 4H EMA20 and the bottom of massive opening bullish candle)
🚀Target: 0.0535 / 0.0560 (corresponding to previous resistance highs and 1.618 Fibonacci extension level)
🛡Strategy: When price reaches target one, reduce position by 50%, move remaining position stop loss to entry price, risk-free play for target two.
Logic: This is a standard "massive surge - volume contraction wash" main force operation. Early morning massive capital entry cost concentrated in 0.045-0.050 range, current price already approaching the upper end of its cost zone. Main force uses natural selling pressure after sharp surge to wash out uncommitted longs, but has not exited (OI unchanged). Buying depth clearly superior to selling depth (depth imbalance -3.8%), downside space already locked. Counterparty is retail traders who chased highs then stopped loss early morning and short-term shorts attempting to bet on pullback. Under positive funding rate environment, time is the ally of longs. Direction of least resistance remains upward; main force only needs minimal buying orders to push price above previous highs, triggering chain reaction of short stop losses and observation capital chasing ups.
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