DXY & Forex

French Finance Minister Roland Lescure has called on European banks to aggressively develop euro-based stablecoins and tokenized deposits to challenge the overwhelming dominance of the U.S. dollar in digital payments. Key Takeaways: Roland Lescure urged EU banks to launch euro stablecoins

UBS analysts predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points by 2026, despite rising energy prices. Fed Chairman Powell suggests limited tightening is needed, focusing on core inflation evidence before cuts. The forecast for Treasury yields indicates potential downward movement.

The Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates steady in April, with a 99.5% probability. Looking ahead to June, there's a 94.1% chance of maintaining rates, a 0.5% chance of an increase, and a 5.4% chance of a cut.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller expressed his readiness to maintain interest rates steady until 2026 if inflation remains a significant concern, despite a stagnant labor market. He warned about prolonged inflation and potential job losses amid ongoing Fed leadership discussions.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDKRW (US Dollar vs South Korean won) has dropped by 1% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Gate News message, April 17 — U.S. 5-year Treasury yields (benchmark measure of medium-term U.S. government borrowing rates) fell 10 basis points intraday.

Gate News message, April 17 — The U.S. Dollar Spot Index has wiped out all gains accumulated since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict.

Gate News message, April 17 — The rate swap market is signaling a dovish shift, with current pricing reflecting expectations for 15 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by December.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDHUF (US Dollar vs Hungarian Forint) has dropped by 0.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Economists anticipate a 25 basis point rate hike by the European Central Bank in June 2026, primarily due to rising energy prices linked to the Iran conflict. While inflation is expected to peak at 2.8%, it should moderate in subsequent years, alongside muted economic growth forecasts for the Eurozone. The ECB remains cautious about potential future hikes amid uncertain geopolitical conditions.

Gate News message, April 17 — Southbound funds through Hong Kong Stock Connect recorded net inflows exceeding HKD 10 billion as of today.

This week's strong rebound of the New Taiwan Dollar was driven by significant foreign investment in the Taiwan stock market. The exchange rate rose to a 1.29% increase, reaching a recent high. However, the central bank is monitoring these changes to prevent excessive appreciation affecting export competitiveness.

On April 17, Hong Kong interbank offered rates (HIBOR) increased across all tenors, with the one-month rate rising to 2.55143% and overnight rates hitting the highest level since January at 3.36536%.

美國前財政部長亨利·保爾森（Henry Paulson）於 2026 年 4 月 17 日（週四）接受彭博社採訪時，敦促美國當局制定應對美國國債需求潛在崩潰的應急計劃，並表示危機一旦爆發，後果將極其嚴重。同日，美國財政部完成有史以來單筆規模最大債務回購，接受約 150 億美元的 2026 年至 2028 年到期舊債券。

前財政部長鮑爾森提醒美國應提前制定債務危機應變計畫，以應對潛在的美債崩盤。他擔心財政赤字將形成「死亡螺旋」，債務可能達2030年GDP的108%。但前聯準會交易員Wang認為公債危機不會發生，真正威脅在於美元信用崩潰及通膨失控。兩者觀點雖異，但皆指出美國財政風險終將顯現。

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warns of a potential collapse in U.S. Treasury demand, which could destabilize the financial system and erode confidence in the dollar, shifting investments to Bitcoin and gold. Tether may face risks as well.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted the conflict in the Middle East as a source of inflation and economic slowdown risks. He confirmed that the Monetary Policy Committee will determine suitable measures to reach the 2% inflation target at the upcoming meeting.

The U.S. dollar index has dropped to near 98 from 100 as easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East reduce market risk-off sentiment. Analysts indicate that the dollar's recent strength was short-lived, signaling a potential return to a "weak dollar" outlook.

The CME's Fed Watch tool indicates a 99.5% probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in April, with similar projections for June showing a 98% likelihood of steady rates and minimal chances for rate cuts or hikes.

Joachim Nagel from the European Central Bank urged against providing forward guidance on interest rates, citing uncertainties about inflation linked to rising energy prices. He warned that the U.S.-Iran conflict is dampening Germany's economic growth prospects, prompting a downward revision of forecasts.