Prediction markets are pricing in a significant shift in U.S. financial policy. According to Kalshi's latest odds, there's now a 27% probability that Congress will enact a ban on stock trading by its members before 2027. This reflects growing momentum behind legislative efforts to restrict congressional insider trading. Such a measure would represent one of the more ambitious anti-corruption initiatives in recent years, tackling long-standing concerns about lawmakers' conflicts of interest in financial markets.
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TokenStorm
· 13h ago
A 27% chance, in other words, the market is still betting on whether this will happen or not. Interesting.
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MevHunter
· 12-22 23:49
27%? This probability is too low. These congressmen can't really self-restrict, wake up.
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CrossChainMessenger
· 12-22 23:48
27%? This probability is too low. To put it bluntly, it's still the interest groups that refuse to let go.
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BasementAlchemist
· 12-22 23:42
27%? This probability is ridiculously low. Can those Americans really restrain themselves? Heh.
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LowCapGemHunter
· 12-22 23:38
27% is really too low, which shows that Washington's rat trading should never be banned...
Prediction markets are pricing in a significant shift in U.S. financial policy. According to Kalshi's latest odds, there's now a 27% probability that Congress will enact a ban on stock trading by its members before 2027. This reflects growing momentum behind legislative efforts to restrict congressional insider trading. Such a measure would represent one of the more ambitious anti-corruption initiatives in recent years, tackling long-standing concerns about lawmakers' conflicts of interest in financial markets.