#预测市场 Recently discovered something very interesting — prediction markets! 🔮 After reading Kalshi's latest research report, I found out that the prediction accuracy of ordinary traders can actually surpass that of Wall Street's professional analysts? That’s incredible!

It is said that they compared 25 months of data, and when predicting inflation indices, the average error of traders was 40% lower than the consensus expectation, and in some cases even 67% better! My goodness, what’s the principle behind this? Is it because real market transactions reflect more genuine expectations?

I always thought only those who seem super professional could make accurate economic forecasts, but I didn’t expect that in prediction markets, the collective wisdom of market participants could generate even stronger predictive power. Now I’m especially curious about how prediction markets actually work — could they also be a good entry point for beginners? Can any experts give a beginner’s introduction? It feels like I’ve discovered a new and interesting area in the crypto world 💡