#美国贸易赤字状况 【January 9 Midday Trading Ideas】

To be honest, I overslept today, and when I opened my eyes, it was already past noon. Recently, the anti-inflammatory medication I took contains a sleep-inducing component, which has made my sleep a bit deep. Fortunately, the market hasn't shown any significant changes, or else it could have been a big deal.

**Bitcoin (BTC) Situation:**

It broke through that yellow trend line, but the resistance level at 91,440 still holds strongly. Currently, it’s in a phase of consolidation after the decline. The white arrow marked candlestick below suggests it’s probably not the bottom — think about it, if it were the bottom, where would the rebound come from? A rebound would mean it’s not the bottom anymore.

The yellow box shows a variant Morning Star pattern, followed by a rebound. However, the rebound cannot break through the 91,440 barrier; it just can’t push higher. Only a breakout above this resistance can lead to higher prices.

Right now, there are two main strategies: one is to break through 91,440 directly and continue upward; the other is to retest yesterday’s low point where the needle was inserted, form a double bottom, and then consolidate and rise. If neither can break through nor fall below, the price will oscillate between 91,440 and 89,263 until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs to establish the trend.

**Trading Ideas:** If BTC breaks through 91,440 with volume, consider chasing long; if it retests 89,263 and shows a false breakdown with a quick recovery, add another long position. If the false breakdown’s low point is stopped out but not recovered, don’t be greedy. Keep an eye on volume changes, and set stop-losses properly.

Resistance levels: 91,440 → 92,700 → 93,536
Support levels: 90,362 → 83,926 → 88,425
If the four-hour level drops below 90,263, look down to 89,262 → 88,435

**Ethereum (ETH) Situation:**

The idea is similar — if ETH breaks through 3,133 with volume, chase longs; just set a stop-loss on the right side.

If it drops below 3,107 with volume, consider shorting, but also set a stop-loss.

If it retests 3,053 and confirms support is valid, add another long; if it falls below 3,016, exit with a stop-loss.

After stabilizing above 3,133 on the hourly chart, the next targets are 3,183 and 3,227.

**Risk Reminder:** Consider shorting at 3,182, with a stop-loss above 3,227. The needle insertion order on the left side was at 2,997 for longs; if it drops below 2,982, exit with a stop-loss.

Resistance levels: 3,133 → 3,183 → 3,227
Support levels: 3,100 → 3,053 → 3,008
If the four-hour level drops below 3,080, look down to 3,031 → 2,982

In the past two days, ETH has formed a W bottom pattern. To continue rising, it must first break through the neckline at 3,133. Once the neckline is broken, the W bottom is confirmed, and the price can continue upward. If it cannot break through, it’s meaningless. Continuing to retest might even touch yesterday’s needle low. Let’s just oscillate within this range for now; there are no significant new developments today.