2026-03-02 07:07:18

After the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran, the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, Shinichi Ichimura, did not release any clear signals regarding a rate hike in the short term in his latest speech today, only emphasizing "the need to closely monitor the situation in the Middle East."

Market data shows that the likelihood of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates at the March 19 policy meeting has become negligible, with overnight index swap pricing indicating only a 6% chance of a rate hike that month.
For the global economy, this "rate hike delayed by war" serves as a warning: in an era of frequent conflicts, the independence of monetary policy is increasingly eroded by geopolitical risks.
Once again, wishing for world peace!
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