#TRUMP流通量激增 Trump coin faces a large amount of unlocking.

April 18: A one-time unlock of 40 million coins, ( accounts for 20% of the circulation, valued at 321 million US dollars;
From April 20th: 3.8 million USD tokens will be unlocked daily for 1096 days; by early 2026: the circulation is expected to exceed 50%, reaching the peak of medium-term selling pressure;
April 2028: All 1 billion coins have been unlocked, with insiders holding 80%.
Market Trend Analysis After Unlocking
Bearish logic: selling pressure and trust crisis
1. Chip surplus: In a short period of time, 40 million tokens flooded the market. If holders sell en masse, it can lead to a price crash. Historically, there have been many similar projects ) like OM Coin ( which have experienced a drop of more than 90% after unlocking.
2. Internal cash withdrawal risk: Approximately $3.42 million of unlocked tokens will be transferred to the Trump-related wallet CIC Digital 1, $380,000 will be transferred to CIC Digital 4, and long-term daily unlocking will also allocate $1.58 million to other internal wallets.
3. Community confidence declines: The number of addresses holding TRUMP has decreased from 800,000 to 637,000, a decline of over 20%, with retail investors accelerating their exit. As an emoticon coin, TRUMP's value foundation is relatively weak, and its price fluctuations are mainly influenced by market sentiment and speculative funds. Once a large number of unlocked tokens are sold off, market panic will spread, further increasing selling pressure, creating a vicious cycle that leads to a sharp drop in price.
Bullish Logic: Whales Accumulate at the Bottom and Potential Positive Factors
1. Whale ambush: On-chain data shows that on April 16, two new wallets spent 5 million USDC to purchase 630,000 TRUMP at an average price of $7.93, indicating that some funds are betting on a short-term rebound.
2. Trump's New Move: Rumors suggest that Trump will launch a real estate cryptocurrency project and register a cryptocurrency trademark, possibly using favorable policies to drive up prices.
3. Market Maker Support: Institutions like Wintermute provide market-making services for TRUMP or hedge selling pressure by increasing liquidity.