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#CandyDrop Airdrop Event 6.0 Here’s the latest snapshot for Ethereum as of August 2, 2025:
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📉 Price & Technical Overview
Ethereum is trading around $3,516, down ~3.3% on the day .
It recently broke under key supports around $3,625–$3,600, now testing deeper support at the 4‑hour 100 EMA (~$3,594) and 200 EMA (~$3,307)** .
Upside resistance is steep, located at the indicators:
Bollinger median band near $3,784
Supertrend flip around $3,899–$4,000 .
On the short-term charts, RSI readings suggest market exhaustion—potentially setting up for a reversal—but without clear volume signals, caution remains prudent .
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📰 Key Market Drivers
Institutional Investor Movements
A major smart-money investor reversed course between July 30–Aug 1, closing an ETH short at ~$3,803 and opening long positions with ~$3.61M in ETH on leverage ~25x, signaling renewed confidence in Ethereum fundamentals .
High‑Profile Exit Indicates Billboard Weakness
BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes sold ~2,373 ETH (worth ~$8.3M) during the recent pullback, aligning with broader market selling pressure .
On‑Chain Flow & Technical Sentiment
About $113M worth of ETH moved off exchanges August 1 — a bearish outflow trend that aligns with declining price momentum .
Momentum indicators on the 4‑hour and daily frames show negative divergence and direction—suggesting sellers gain upper hand unless price stabilizes above $3,600 .
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🔮 Forecast & Analyst Sentiment
Coin Edition Analyst (Benjamin Cowen)
Calls August a make-or-break period: breaking and holding above $4,000 could catalyze a year‑end rally.
Failure to breach resistance may result in more consolidation into September before another run .
Price Predictions
CoinPedia expects support at $3,541, with upside toward $4,000 should demand return .
Changelly projects a broad August range: $3,610 to $4,328, with ~$4,000 within reach if bullish conditions prevail .
BraveNewCoin notes potential for ETH to rebound toward $3,625 before another attempt at breakout .
Macro & ETF Factors
Institutional demand remains supportive, with rising ETH ETF inflows expected to underpin medium- to long-term value .
Some analysts forecast mid‑2026 ETH levels of $7,000–10,000, driven by growth in DeFi, NFTs, and issuance of spot ETH ETFs .