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#打榜优质内容 In the context of the Fed's hawkish stance and stubborn inflation, the crypto market may continue to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. The Fed's cautious attitude towards the interest rate cut timetable will be a core factor affecting the market in the coming months, especially as the expectation for a rate cut in September has dropped from certainty to a 50% probability, which has significantly suppressed market risk appetite. However, at the same time, Cb's financial report dealt a fatal blow to the market. The flow of institutional funds will become a key support for market stability moving forward.
Currently, the continuous purchasing behavior of ETH whales and listed companies has created a certain buffer for the market. However, if this trend weakens, it may trigger a larger-scale correction. Especially in the context where a demand for adjustment has already emerged from a technical perspective, a reduction in institutional buying may accelerate downward pressure.
The easing of international trade relations is one of the few positive factors at present. The postponement of US-China trade tariffs and the progress of the US-EU tariff agreement help improve the global economic outlook and indirectly provide support for risk assets.
However, it remains to be seen whether this positive factor can offset the negative impact of the Fed's hawkish stance.
Overall, the market may enter a period of consolidation, waiting for clearer signals on monetary policy. Investors should be prepared for medium to long-term holdings while maintaining sufficient liquidity to cope with potential volatility. In the absence of major catalysts, the market may need a longer time to digest previous gains and build momentum for the next phase.