#ETH / #BTC – Multi-Year Reversal Structure Points to Major Upside Ahead:



#ETH leading ≠ noise. #ETH leading = The Signal.

This chart highlights one of the most important macro relationships in crypto: when #ETH outperforms, it signals rotation and a shift toward altseason.

1️⃣Long-Term Curved Support Holding Perfectly:
▫️Multiple historical touches (white arrows)
▫️Each one triggered explosive #ETH bull runs
▫️The current reaction mirrors 2017 & 2020 takeoffs
▫️This curved support has proven to be a cyclical floor for #ETH/#BTC

Right now, the structure suggests this shift has already begun.

2️⃣Breakout Setup Beneath an 8-Year Descending Resistance:
▫️The curved yellow resistance has capped #ETH performance for years
▫️#ETH is pressing against it with stronger momentum
▫️Price compression = volatility loading for a macro move
▫️The squeeze points toward a breakout rather than a breakdown
▫️I believe right now Tension = energy loading for a macro move.

3️⃣Early Impulsive 1-2-3-4-5 Wave Formation:
▫️Wave 4 bottom looks structurally confirmed
▫️Wave 5 aims at the 0.618–0.702 Fib zone
▫️This exact setup historically ignites broad-market altseason
▫️#ETH tends to lead risk capital flows into alts
▫️Impulse structure + compression = bullish continuation.

4️⃣Target Zone Validation:
▫️Initial breakout target: Fib 0.5 at 0.039 BTC
▫️Macro extension targets:
• 0.047 – 0.054 BTC (Fib 0.618–0.702)
• 0.073 BTC (Fib 0.888)
• 0.08777 BTC (Fib 1.0)
▫️My estimation 50%–70% Fib box is the most realistic Wave 5 zone

5️⃣Probability Outlook: Why the Target Makes Sense:
▫️Confirmed cyclical bottom
▫️Multi-year support respected
▫️Higher-low structure developing
▫️Compression under major Support and Structure tightening for breakout
▫️#ETH/#BTC rotation typically signals mid-cycle expansion

Probability of Wave 5 reaching:
• Fib 0.618 → 95%
• Fib 0.702 → 90%
• Fib 0.786 → 85%
• Fib 0.888 → 70%
• Fib 1.0 → 50%

▫️If #ETH closes above 0.03990 BTC on the 2-week chart: #Altseason probability jumps sharply into the high-80% range.

6️⃣ Macro Market Implications:
A Bullish #ETH/#BTC = Means

▫️Flow rotation: BTC → ETH → Large Caps → Mid Caps → Altseason
▫️Smart Money is positioning quietly at the bottom
▫️Market is transitioning into risk-on expansion
▫️This chart says the altcoin supercycle is still alive.

This chart implies the #altcoin supercycle is still in play.

7⃣Final Take / Summary:
#ETH/#BTC has completed its bearish cycle and is now entering a major bullish reversal phase.

The first big test remains: 2-Week Close above 0.03990 BTC = Altseason ignition

#ETH leading ≠ noise. #ETH leading = the signal.
ETH-3.43%
BTC-2.49%
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)