#ETH / #BTC – Multi-Year Reversal Structure Points to Major Upside Ahead:
#ETH leading ≠ noise. #ETH leading = The Signal.
This chart highlights one of the most important macro relationships in crypto: when #ETH outperforms, it signals rotation and a shift toward altseason.
1️⃣Long-Term Curved Support Holding Perfectly: ▫️Multiple historical touches (white arrows) ▫️Each one triggered explosive #ETH bull runs ▫️The current reaction mirrors 2017 & 2020 takeoffs ▫️This curved support has proven to be a cyclical floor for #ETH/#BTC
Right now, the structure suggests this shift has already begun.
2️⃣Breakout Setup Beneath an 8-Year Descending Resistance: ▫️The curved yellow resistance has capped #ETH performance for years ▫️#ETH is pressing against it with stronger momentum ▫️Price compression = volatility loading for a macro move ▫️The squeeze points toward a breakout rather than a breakdown ▫️I believe right now Tension = energy loading for a macro move.
3️⃣Early Impulsive 1-2-3-4-5 Wave Formation: ▫️Wave 4 bottom looks structurally confirmed ▫️Wave 5 aims at the 0.618–0.702 Fib zone ▫️This exact setup historically ignites broad-market altseason ▫️#ETH tends to lead risk capital flows into alts ▫️Impulse structure + compression = bullish continuation.
4️⃣Target Zone Validation: ▫️Initial breakout target: Fib 0.5 at 0.039 BTC ▫️Macro extension targets: • 0.047 – 0.054 BTC (Fib 0.618–0.702) • 0.073 BTC (Fib 0.888) • 0.08777 BTC (Fib 1.0) ▫️My estimation 50%–70% Fib box is the most realistic Wave 5 zone
5️⃣Probability Outlook: Why the Target Makes Sense: ▫️Confirmed cyclical bottom ▫️Multi-year support respected ▫️Higher-low structure developing ▫️Compression under major Support and Structure tightening for breakout ▫️#ETH/#BTC rotation typically signals mid-cycle expansion
▫️If #ETH closes above 0.03990 BTC on the 2-week chart: #Altseason probability jumps sharply into the high-80% range.
6️⃣ Macro Market Implications: A Bullish #ETH/#BTC = Means
▫️Flow rotation: BTC → ETH → Large Caps → Mid Caps → Altseason ▫️Smart Money is positioning quietly at the bottom ▫️Market is transitioning into risk-on expansion ▫️This chart says the altcoin supercycle is still alive.
This chart implies the #altcoin supercycle is still in play.
7⃣Final Take / Summary: #ETH/#BTC has completed its bearish cycle and is now entering a major bullish reversal phase.
The first big test remains: 2-Week Close above 0.03990 BTC = Altseason ignition
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#ETH / #BTC – Multi-Year Reversal Structure Points to Major Upside Ahead:
#ETH leading ≠ noise. #ETH leading = The Signal.
This chart highlights one of the most important macro relationships in crypto: when #ETH outperforms, it signals rotation and a shift toward altseason.
1️⃣Long-Term Curved Support Holding Perfectly:
▫️Multiple historical touches (white arrows)
▫️Each one triggered explosive #ETH bull runs
▫️The current reaction mirrors 2017 & 2020 takeoffs
▫️This curved support has proven to be a cyclical floor for #ETH/#BTC
Right now, the structure suggests this shift has already begun.
2️⃣Breakout Setup Beneath an 8-Year Descending Resistance:
▫️The curved yellow resistance has capped #ETH performance for years
▫️#ETH is pressing against it with stronger momentum
▫️Price compression = volatility loading for a macro move
▫️The squeeze points toward a breakout rather than a breakdown
▫️I believe right now Tension = energy loading for a macro move.
3️⃣Early Impulsive 1-2-3-4-5 Wave Formation:
▫️Wave 4 bottom looks structurally confirmed
▫️Wave 5 aims at the 0.618–0.702 Fib zone
▫️This exact setup historically ignites broad-market altseason
▫️#ETH tends to lead risk capital flows into alts
▫️Impulse structure + compression = bullish continuation.
4️⃣Target Zone Validation:
▫️Initial breakout target: Fib 0.5 at 0.039 BTC
▫️Macro extension targets:
• 0.047 – 0.054 BTC (Fib 0.618–0.702)
• 0.073 BTC (Fib 0.888)
• 0.08777 BTC (Fib 1.0)
▫️My estimation 50%–70% Fib box is the most realistic Wave 5 zone
5️⃣Probability Outlook: Why the Target Makes Sense:
▫️Confirmed cyclical bottom
▫️Multi-year support respected
▫️Higher-low structure developing
▫️Compression under major Support and Structure tightening for breakout
▫️#ETH/#BTC rotation typically signals mid-cycle expansion
Probability of Wave 5 reaching:
• Fib 0.618 → 95%
• Fib 0.702 → 90%
• Fib 0.786 → 85%
• Fib 0.888 → 70%
• Fib 1.0 → 50%
▫️If #ETH closes above 0.03990 BTC on the 2-week chart: #Altseason probability jumps sharply into the high-80% range.
6️⃣ Macro Market Implications:
A Bullish #ETH/#BTC = Means
▫️Flow rotation: BTC → ETH → Large Caps → Mid Caps → Altseason
▫️Smart Money is positioning quietly at the bottom
▫️Market is transitioning into risk-on expansion
▫️This chart says the altcoin supercycle is still alive.
This chart implies the #altcoin supercycle is still in play.
7⃣Final Take / Summary:
#ETH/#BTC has completed its bearish cycle and is now entering a major bullish reversal phase.
The first big test remains: 2-Week Close above 0.03990 BTC = Altseason ignition
#ETH leading ≠ noise. #ETH leading = the signal.