The latest survey results released by the New York Fed on December 9 are quite interesting—American households are now feeling tighter with their wallets.
Data from November shows that people's assessment of their current financial situation has clearly declined, and expectations for the next year aren't very optimistic either. However, there is some good news on the job front: fewer people are worried about unemployment, the willingness to voluntarily switch jobs has dropped, and the probability of unemployment has fallen to its lowest point since December last year. It seems that people are more inclined to hold onto their jobs rather than make a change.
Inflation expectations overall remain stable. Short-term ( one-year ) inflation expectations stayed at 3.2%, while the three-year and five-year expectations both held at 3%. Home prices are expected to rise by 3%. But one number really stands out—the one-year expectation for medical costs has soared to 10.1%, the highest since January 2014. Americans are truly feeling the pinch of rising healthcare expenses.
Expectations for other goods prices haven't changed much. Income and wage growth expectations remain positive, which helps cushion the pessimism a bit.
The signals from this report are clear: ordinary people aren't very optimistic about the near term, but still have some confidence in long-term inflation and the job market. For the crypto market, this divergence in expectations could affect risk asset allocation—cautious in the short term, but planning for the long term.
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BlockImposter
· 1h ago
Medical expenses 10.1%? That's the real killer, more heartbreaking than any inflation
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DegenWhisperer
· 1h ago
Medical expenses 10.1%? Americans are probably traumatized by hospitals ripping them off.
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Wallets are tightening and people are holding on to their jobs; is this the bottom signal?
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Being cautious in the short term and planning long-term? Nice words, but who can really do it?
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Let inflation stabilize, just let it be. Why are medical costs acting up? Outrageous.
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Unemployment rate drops and wage growth expectations are still positive? Sounds quite aligned.
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Housing prices only up 3%? I don’t buy it; the data doesn’t match reality.
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Looking at this data, short-term investors should cut losses.
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Diverging expectations mean that ordinary people are about to get screwed.
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gas_guzzler
· 12-10 00:58
10% of medical expenses? How much medicine do you have to take for that? Americans are really being squeezed dry.
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HalfIsEmpty
· 12-10 00:55
Medical expenses have soared to 10.1%. This is the real hidden inflation—who would've thought?
Cautious in the short term, positioning for the long term. Basically, it means we still have to hold onto dollars and wait for opportunities.
When wallets get tighter, people actually stick together more. Interesting. Is this actually a window for building positions?
The mentality of protecting one's rice bowl... everyone is timid now. Market sentiment here is quite interesting.
A 10.1% increase in medical costs is even more outrageous than crypto volatility.
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Rugman_Walking
· 12-10 00:55
Medical expenses have increased by 10.1%? Americans have to be much more frugal to survive, no wonder everyone is hoarding crypto.
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rugpull_ptsd
· 12-10 00:32
Medical expenses at 10.1%? Americans are really starting to panic, their wallets shrinking like virtual assets.
The latest survey results released by the New York Fed on December 9 are quite interesting—American households are now feeling tighter with their wallets.
Data from November shows that people's assessment of their current financial situation has clearly declined, and expectations for the next year aren't very optimistic either. However, there is some good news on the job front: fewer people are worried about unemployment, the willingness to voluntarily switch jobs has dropped, and the probability of unemployment has fallen to its lowest point since December last year. It seems that people are more inclined to hold onto their jobs rather than make a change.
Inflation expectations overall remain stable. Short-term ( one-year ) inflation expectations stayed at 3.2%, while the three-year and five-year expectations both held at 3%. Home prices are expected to rise by 3%. But one number really stands out—the one-year expectation for medical costs has soared to 10.1%, the highest since January 2014. Americans are truly feeling the pinch of rising healthcare expenses.
Expectations for other goods prices haven't changed much. Income and wage growth expectations remain positive, which helps cushion the pessimism a bit.
The signals from this report are clear: ordinary people aren't very optimistic about the near term, but still have some confidence in long-term inflation and the job market. For the crypto market, this divergence in expectations could affect risk asset allocation—cautious in the short term, but planning for the long term.