On December 5, two seemingly unrelated news broke out from Washington, but they painted an interesting picture.

Let's get down to business first. The 2025 version of the National Security Strategy has finally been released. The core idea is clear: the United States wants to shrink its front and return its center of gravity to the Western Hemisphere. This is interpreted as "Monroe Doctrine 2.0" - when Monroe said that America was the America of Americans, now it is a different word, but the meaning is similar.

On the European side, Washington's attitude has become subtle. The report is quite straightforward: Europe should shoulder its own defense responsibilities, and NATO should not always think about unlimited expansion. The implication is that in the future, you will do it yourself, and the United States will not be wronged.

For China, the wording has softened a lot. The competition focuses on "non-sensitive" economic and trade areas, and Finance Minister Bescent has previously asked not to speak too harshly. After all, everyone understands that the economic constraints are too deep, and no one can please them if they really tear their faces.

Russia is more interesting. Compared with the attitude of the European media, there is significantly less criticism of Russia in the report. The signal released by the White House is that it is not impossible to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict as soon as possible and rebuild relations. Europe probably has to figure out what this means.

What about the Middle East? Strategic downgrade. No longer making the Middle East the core of foreign policy is straightforward enough. The oil era has passed, and the geopolitical value of the Middle East is no longer so in the eyes of Washington.

Let's talk about the second thing. On the same day, Trump won the "FIFA Peace Prize" at the 2026 World Cup draw ceremony. The reason is "pioneering football diplomacy". It is widely believed that this award was tailored to Trump by Infantino - after all, the Nobel Peace Prize was not given to him not long ago, and FIFA hurriedly made up for it.

Infantino's award speech was quite formal: "In a turbulent and divided world, it is crucial to recognize those who work to end conflict and promote peace. "It sounds grandiose, but anyone with a discerning eye knows what's going on.

These two things are quite intriguing to look at together. On the one hand, there is strategic contraction and redistribution of interests, and on the other hand, public relations packaging and image engineering. In the final analysis, it is all the same set of logic: pragmatic when it should be pragmatic, and packaging when it should be packed.

For the crypto market, geopolitical changes often bring fluctuations in capital flows. The strategic contraction of the United States may mean a change in global capital risk aversion, and the adjustment of the situation in the Middle East, Europe, and Russia will also affect the flow of funds. As for the Peace Prize, it is purely a lively watch, but the power game behind it is worth paying attention to.

The market never cares about who wins what award, only where the money goes.