Tonight at 3 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve is about to make a move—interest rates are highly likely to be cut from 4.00% to 3.75%.

Looking back at the previous two rate cuts, it’s clear: as long as the outcome is within market expectations, the price at which the rate cut is implemented is basically the short-term ceiling.

In simple terms: once the rate cut is announced, a short-term peak is reached.

What you should be concerned about now is not the Federal Reserve, but how heavy your positions are.