#美联储启动新一轮降息周期 The Federal Reserve is imminent, and the market looks like a pot of boiling water—after last night’s rally post-U.S. stock market close, Bitcoin shot up to 94500, and the bears were pressed and frantically rubbing... Over 4000 points of surge, it's understandable to feel heartache. However, after the spike, the rally failed to continue, and early this morning it turned back and stabilized around 91900.



From the four-hour K-line chart, since the rebound from 80600, Bitcoin has been progressively raising its lows, appearing very strong on the surface. Don’t be fooled—this is not a reversal signal but simply a technical correction after a sharp decline. The overall trend remains bearish.

The daily chart shows some sideways movement, but the resistance line at 96800 is still firmly blocking the way. As long as it’s not effectively broken through, any rebound is just an opportunity for the bears to strike. The entire rhythm still favors a weak rebound with strong downward pressure; there are no signs of genuine momentum reversal.

The Fed decision at 3 a.m. is coming, and no one knows the outcome, but volatility will certainly be high. Traders who have prepared in advance can seize the biggest opportunities amidst intense fluctuations.

Live trading plan: $BTC has placed short positions in two key zones—initially at 94000, then at 96500. Take profits in stages, aiming first for 88000 and 85000, then targets of 85000, 83000, and eventually 80000. Use light positions, hold patiently, and if the rhythm is right, the space for gains will naturally be significant.

Remember: a rebound does not equal a reversal; the real opportunity is always at high levels.
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rugpull_survivorvip
· 5h ago
Well, this rebound is just a false breakout; I don't trust that 94,500 spike... The bearish pattern hasn't changed; the Federal Reserve's 3 o'clock meeting will reveal the truth. Waiting for 96,800; if it can't break through, it's all in vain. This trading idea is good, but you need to have a big enough nerve... A rebound ≠ a reversal. This statement is spot on; many people still don't understand why they've been trapped.
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MevHuntervip
· 11h ago
The rebound was pushed down again, this is the daily life of a bear... The night before the Federal Reserve decision is the most nerve-wracking, everyone is gambling. --- 96800 is really a steel door, no wonder the author keeps a close eye on this level. --- Taking a small position to short is indeed stable, just worried that the Federal Reserve might do a reverse move and slap in the face... --- Honestly, we still have to wait for the Federal Reserve to make a move; all current guesses are just nonsense. --- The four-hour higher lows look pretty, but if it doesn't break through the resistance line, it's just a routine. I've seen too many plays like this. --- Decision at 3 a.m... staying up late to monitor the market again, this is the everyday hell for traders. --- 85000, 83000, 80000... the gradient targets are set quite meticulously, just waiting to see if the Federal Reserve gives us this chance. --- The analogy of the rebound stabbing with a knife is excellent; bears are just waiting to catch this knife. --- Did 91900 hold steady? I still feel a bit anxious, like it could turn around at any moment. --- Those who laid out their positions early should be relaxing and waiting for the storm; we latecomers can only watch helplessly.
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LayerZeroHerovip
· 11h ago
Friction short-selling is satisfying, but this rebound is really just a technical correction. Don't be fooled into chasing it. By the way, the Federal Reserve's decision at 3 a.m. is the real powder keg; no one can predict the direction... If 96800 can't be broken, it will still be a bear market. I'm just waiting to cut into those who chase longs during the rebound at high levels. Set up short positions at 94000 and 96500, hold patiently. With an easing cycle, how small can the space be? --- This 4000-point surge was really intense, but a rebound ≠ a reversal. Everyone understands the logic, but it's easy for emotions to take over. --- The Federal Reserve decision is truly a gamble. Volatility will definitely explode, and the key is who can anticipate the rhythm in advance. --- Go directly for 94500, but it turned back down to 91900... This is a big slap from the bears to rebound traders. --- Rebounds are easy to take, reversals are rare. See you at 88000.
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OnChain_Detectivevip
· 11h ago
nah hold up, that 94500 pump reeks of whale manipulation tbh. let me pull the data on those wallet clusters around that spike—pattern analysis suggests classic pump before the fed decision. suspicious activity detected written all over it fr fr, not financial advice but that "strong rebound" narrative? textbook rugpull signature setup imo. remember folks always dyor before touching any of this.
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SolidityStrugglervip
· 11h ago
The rebound this time was indeed fierce, but the 96,800 level still held firmly, indicating that the main force still wants to push downward. It feels like they're paving the way for the bears. The volatility before the Federal Reserve decision is too easy to cut the leeks.
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TokenomicsTherapistvip
· 12h ago
The rebound is here again, still the same rhetoric... 94500 suddenly crashes back to 91900, and the bears haven't really let go yet. The Fed's move, somehow Bitcoin seems less panicked, we'll have to wait for the decision to see who laughs last.
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