#数字资产生态回暖 Tonight's Federal Reserve decision, on the surface, a 25 basis point rate cut seems to be a done deal—markets have long priced it in. The real point of interest lies ahead: how the Fed will "paint a big picture."

First, let's talk about ETH. The following scenarios will directly influence how your account should proceed.

**Most likely scenario: Rate cut, but attitude remains cautious**
The Fed cuts rates, and then Powell immediately issues a warning—saying this doesn't mean the easing cycle has begun, and data needs to continue to be watched. For assets like ETH, this is a typical "good news already priced in." The price might spike briefly, then enter consolidation due to the gap between expectations; be cautious about chasing the high.

**Second possibility: A genuine shift towards easing**
Not only a rate cut, but also signals of continuation next year. The macro environment is truly loosened, and funds will start looking for risk assets like ETH. The price could break through previous highs and move above $3,600.

**Low-probability surprise: Hawkish signals emerge**
The Fed's stance is more hawkish than expected, even hinting that there's no rush to cut further. This would be a precursor to a full-scale sell-off. Market sentiment could reverse instantly, with ETH facing heavy selling pressure, and it’s crucial to hold above $3,000.

**Key trading tip: The main point is "patience"**
The first hour after the decision is the most chaotic—volatility is high, but the direction isn’t clear. The true trend often only becomes apparent during the press conference. The smartest move is to hold steady, let the market digest the shock, and wait until the situation clarifies before making your move.

In such highly volatile periods, patience is more valuable than anything.