The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming up, and a 25bp rate cut is virtually assured; the market has already priced it in. But now, the suspense is not whether to cut or not, but what happens next.
Don’t be fooled by phrases like "25bp downward trend"—the real drama lies in the policy signals. Some are betting that the Federal Reserve will use some clever language or even hint dovishly; others are still hoping for a more easing environment. Be realistic and don’t overthink it.
The market is watching two things: how the dot plot is shaped and what Powell says at the press conference. These are the factors that can truly stir up volatility.
However, to be honest, Powell’s influence this time might not last very long. A new FOMC cycle is about to start, with a batch of new members joining soon, and a series of new statements and guidance are expected in the coming weeks. So, the impact tonight? It may just be a short-term shockwave.
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MEV_Whisperer
· 15h ago
How to draw a dot matrix chart to be the ultimate winner, I really don't care about the wording
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GateUser-75ee51e7
· 15h ago
The dot matrix chart is the real trump card; Powell's ability to bluff with his words only lasts a few hours at most.
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CountdownToBroke
· 15h ago
The dot matrix chart coming out again will probably cause another commotion, but honestly, there might not be any new tricks this time.
Powell's meetings can really turn people upside down, it's hilarious. Instead of worrying about that, I’d rather see what the new FOMC members are planning to do.
Short-term shockwave? What am I supposed to do in these few hours...
Just wait, it will definitely plunge again and then rebound—same old routine.
I feel like the dot matrix chart is the real answer; I've been tired of listening to what Powell says.
The key is the new members taking the stage. Tonight’s show feels a bit outdated.
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LiquidationOracle
· 15h ago
Dot matrix charts are the key to the gamble; fancy wording can fool people but cannot change the overall situation.
Powell's move is indeed a short-term smoke screen; the real story is the FOMC leadership change.
Basically, it's about whether he dares to hint at room for further rate cuts, or it's just the old routine of stabilizing expectations.
Honestly, the market has already priced in all good news; tonight, unless there's a black swan, the volatility will be limited.
Are dovish signals valuable? As long as the new committee members shift towards a hawkish attitude, it will all be in vain.
Instead of fussing over wording, it's better to focus on how they retreat from this position.
Short-term shocks are just short-term shocks; the long-term pattern still depends on how the next batch of people think.
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TrustMeBro
· 15h ago
Dot matrix charts are the real deal; wordplay games are all just fluff.
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ChainProspector
· 15h ago
25bp already priced in, so what's there to hype about? The real highlight is still the set of candlestick charts.
Powell, this time, just a side note; at the new FOMC, it's probably going to be another round of fuss.
Interest rate cuts were expected early on; the key is how he will spin the narrative.
In reality, once the short-term shockwave passes, there's not much left. It still depends on what the new committee members say next.
Instead of fixating on the press conference, it's better to watch the series of statements in the coming weeks—that's where the real variables lie.
Tonight, will Powell make another big move?
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming up, and a 25bp rate cut is virtually assured; the market has already priced it in. But now, the suspense is not whether to cut or not, but what happens next.
Don’t be fooled by phrases like "25bp downward trend"—the real drama lies in the policy signals. Some are betting that the Federal Reserve will use some clever language or even hint dovishly; others are still hoping for a more easing environment. Be realistic and don’t overthink it.
The market is watching two things: how the dot plot is shaped and what Powell says at the press conference. These are the factors that can truly stir up volatility.
However, to be honest, Powell’s influence this time might not last very long. A new FOMC cycle is about to start, with a batch of new members joining soon, and a series of new statements and guidance are expected in the coming weeks. So, the impact tonight? It may just be a short-term shockwave.