As regulatory standards become more standardized, the game rules in the secondary market are being rewritten. I myself am involved in secondary trading, but I have to admit: retail investors here are more like harvested chives.



Many believe that only the primary market has market makers controlling the game and will monitor the top ten addresses' coin holdings. But what about the secondary? Strong market maker coins are everywhere, and the techniques of "mouse farming" are more covert. The market trend last October is clear evidence—the retail investors and small institutions had no power to resist against the main players. You think you're engaging in a game of strategy, but in reality, it's just a one-sided, lower-dimensional attack. Information gaps, capital volume, trading rights—these things are simply not in the same dimension.

Let's talk about taxes. The US is leading the push for crypto taxation, followed by Europe, while Asian funds are panicking first because of "free selling." This round of correction, frankly, is Asian retail investors stepping on each other and actively surrendering their chips. Once Bitcoin completes the redistribution of chips and Wall Street takes over, what will the market look like? My judgment is: Bitcoin will trend independently, institutions will rejoice, but this is not a Web3 bull market, nor is it a spring for retail investors.

Everyone has seen this rally—Bitcoin is leading the pack, the altcoin season? It hasn't arrived at all. The reason is simple: professional players have entered the market. But retail investors are also evolving. Ethereum, trapped at 3500, dared to add positions at 3000 and recovered at 3300, indicating that the trading system is gradually being established. Are market makers trying to harvest? The difficulty is no longer what it used to be.

My current strategy is: only focus on deterministic structures in the secondary market, starting at least from the 4-hour timeframe. Small-scale market movements are like projects rushing into no-hotspot primary markets; after tossing around for a while with no results, they only slowly chip away at your bullets. Certainty is the key to survival.
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WenAirdropvip
· 16h ago
To be honest, I only agree with half of your theory. The secondary market is indeed a meat grinder, but retail investors are not completely powerless. The key is whether they have discipline. The 4-hour level suggestion is not bad, but I think a better approach is to just lie flat and do dollar-cost averaging in spot trading, instead of always trying to fight in the secondary market. The judgment that Bitcoin will have an independent trend after those institutions step in... Are you encouraging yourself or truly believing it?
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CounterIndicatorvip
· 20h ago
That was a harsh reality. The recent wave last year really made it clear that retail investors truly have no power to fight back. Regulation has come, but it actually makes things more obvious. The transparency of information seems to have improved, but the tactics of the big players are also more sophisticated. I now rely on the 4-hour chart; lower timeframes are really just money-making zones. The fact that Wall Street is taking over is a bit upsetting. After all the chips are distributed, I guess it's time for us to enter the market again.
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ProtocolRebelvip
· 12-10 12:48
That's right. Now, the secondary market is basically a hunting ground for institutions, and retail investors are really just giving it away. It's no longer as difficult for the whales to harvest, but it hasn't gotten much easier either. The key is to stick to the discipline. I agree with starting on the 4-hour chart. At smaller levels, you're definitely taking a hit.
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OffchainWinnervip
· 12-10 12:44
Truthfully, the secondary level is just a meat grinder; retail investors who enter are just giving away their assets. Any manipulation by the big players can wipe out all of you with just a single pump and dump. The information gap makes this game unplayable. Stick to your 4-hour strategy; at least it won't be repeatedly stopped out by minor fluctuations.
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DegenMcsleeplessvip
· 12-10 12:39
Basically, retail investors are just ATMs, there's nothing to hide about it. Wall Street is harvesting Asian markets, while we're trampling over each other, it's hilarious. Below the 4-hour level, it's just free money, really. The secondary market is now just an amusement park for institutions; we're just along for the ride. This wave of market movement, Bitcoin is eating the gains, altcoins can't even get a sip of soup. Once taxes are introduced, Asian capital will run first, and the chips will flow to Wall Street. And then... you'll see. Retail investors evolving? I think it's just the same people losing money in different ways. Only a certain structural certainty can survive; everything else is just consumption.
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GhostAddressMinervip
· 12-10 12:35
I've seen through it all; you're too insightful. I've been scanning the on-chain footprints for half a month, and the paths of those large transfers are crystal clear—Wall Street's money has long been arranged in the dark. Retail investors in the secondary market are indeed at a disadvantage; the information gap is evident. I now focus specifically on the transfer trajectories of abnormal addresses. The wave of 3,500 locked Ethereum, the original addresses of the main players' trading traces can't be hidden at all, and all contract interaction records are stored on the chain. Strategically, we still need to rely on definite structures; small-scale noise is too much, much like waking a sleeping wallet—when it's truly time to act, on-chain signals will give you the answer first. The current problem is that retail investors have learned to be clever, and the strategies of the big players are also evolving, but on-chain footprints can never be fooled.
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