FOMC rate cut decision drops in a few hours (2 p.m. ET.)

The market is pricing in a +90% chance of a 25 bps cut.

Then at 2:30 p.m. ET, Powell takes the stage.

Here’s the impact breakdown:
- 50 bps cut or QE hints = extremely bullish / markets go parabolic
- 25 bps cut = neutral to slightly bearish
- No cut = bearish

(And yes, imo the most likely outcome is still a 25 bps cut.)

Also worth noting, Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026, and Trump will appoint a very dovish, pro-rate cut Fed Chair.

The money printer is inevitable.