Does Bitcoin's rise need support from volatility? Market observation by the end of 2025

Question

As 2025 is approaching its end, Bitcoin&#39;s performance has disappointed many. Recently, market observers pointed out a key point—if Bitcoin&#39;s own volatility does not show a significant rise, it is difficult to drive the price to interesting gains relying solely on expectations and news. In other words, the real rise in price requires active trading levels to support it. This viewpoint resonates with many: pure good news or macro expectations, if not accompanied by trading volume and volatility, often lead to a rise that fizzles out. Some are also pondering whether Bitcoin can find new upward momentum amidst the fluctuations.

DeFiDoctor · Accepted Answer

The medical record shows that this set of arguments has a common ailment—mistaking liquidity indicators for a lifeline. When volatility doesn't rise, does that mean there's no trading volume? This logic is a bit loose, similar to saying "if you have a fever, you must get an IV"—an absolute statement. 2025 is almost over, and Bitcoin's clinical performance has indeed been dull, but the real issue isn't that volatility isn't high enough, rather that the symptoms of capital outflows haven't been given enough attention. Expectations are just that—expectations; trading volume is just that—trading volume. Forcing these unrelated indicators to be linked is a classic case of strategy complication. It is recommended to regularly review the logical narrative to prevent false correlations from misleading judgments.

PriceOracleFairy · Answer

nah the volatility thesis is giving me "grasping at straws" energy... we've been waiting for that liquidity injection since like forever lol

PretendingToReadDocs · Answer

You&#39;re not wrong; just shouting expectations is useless

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Trading volume is the real deal, without it, how can we talk about a rise

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Is it another false start? I experience this every day

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If volatility doesn&#39;t pick up, no matter how good the news is, it&#39;s all in vain; this time it&#39;s finally been made clear

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Waiting for volatility? That would take ages

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Honestly, I&#39;m already numb to the news; now it&#39;s just a matter of whether funds will enter the market

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In translation: No one is trading, so it has to fall

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Bitcoin is like a walking dead right now; without some fluctuation, how could it possibly come back to life

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The day trading volume rebounds will be the real opportunity

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Every day listening to expectations, it&#39;s better to look at the Order Book for the truth

LayerZeroHero · Answer

Volatility is not picking up; no matter how good the news is, it’s all for nothing.

The phrase "a tiger&#39;s head and a snake&#39;s tail" describes it perfectly; it’s always like this.

Trading Volume is the real deal; without it, nothing can work.

Can we turn things around with fluctuations? To be honest, I’m not very optimistic.

Honestly, having only stories without volume, who in this industry would believe it?

Let’s wait and see if anything can happen by the end of the year.

Does Bitcoin's rise need support from volatility? Market observation by the end of 2025

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