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#分享我的交易
Last time I shared a failed trade, today I want to share a recent successful trade with everyone, giving a "fragrant" summary for 2025, and also wishing everyone daily prosperity!
📊Trade Details:
This trade involved the DOGE/USDT perpetual contract, with a 10X leverage short position opened on December 24th and closed on December 26th. The opening price was 0.1264, the closing price was 0.122, resulting in a 32% profit.
🈳 Entry Logic
1. Market Environment Judgment: Since Bitcoin broke below the 60-week moving average, it has entered a bull market. For mainstream tokens, I adhere to a strategy of shorting on rallies. Recently, DOGE's price has almost followed Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently in the second wave rebound of a bear market. Without any news catalysts, the price has been oscillating widely between 85,000 and 90,000. Shorting around 89,000 is a good opportunity.
2. Technical Analysis: Recently, DOGE's price trend has been weaker than Bitcoin's. Bitcoin has triggered my short exposure around 89,000. Meanwhile, DOGE's daily chart previously formed a Evening Star pattern at a high level, with a clear resistance from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, MACD continuously shrinking, and on the 4-hour chart, after a series of declines, a shooting star appeared, indicating a continuation of the downward trend.
🉐 Exit Logic
1. Technical Analysis: Bitcoin's price, after continuous decline, reached above 86,000, touching the lower boundary of the consolidation zone. The price has been sideways around 86,000, and the downward momentum has weakened, so it’s a good point to take profit. DOGE's RSI is severely oversold after continuous declines, MACD on the 4-hour chart has failed to form a bullish crossover, indicating oversold conditions, and on the daily chart, the price has touched the lower Bollinger Band, showing a rebound demand.
2. News Analysis: No significant negative news on the 26th, and the market is about to enter the weekend and Western Christmas holidays, so there won't be much news volatility. The US stock market closed higher the previous day. Without major news, Bitcoin is expected to continue its wide-range oscillation.
3. Risk Control Rules: I invested a relatively large amount this time, so I only used 10X leverage. Under this context, a profit rate exceeding 30% triggered my passive take-profit rule, so I chose to close the position and realize gains.
💡My Strategy Insights:
1. In this operation, I combined technical analysis and news analysis to make rational judgments, responding calmly to the market, which improved the accuracy of my trades.
2. After signs of a market bottom appeared, I dared to take profits. And after triggering the take-profit signal, I strictly followed operational discipline, allowing me to close at the best possible price.
3. After each profitable trade, I didn't rush to chase further gains but paused to wait for the next opportunity. As a result, the money earned this time was not quickly lost due to luck.