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As we look toward 2026, the pattern becomes increasingly clear: the Fed will likely maintain its liquidity injection strategy to stabilize the financial system. The core issue is that major banks have taken on excessive leverage through derivatives and speculative positions—essentially a structural gambling problem embedded in the system. When stress events emerge, the central bank steps in with emergency liquidity measures, printing money to prop up institutions deemed too-big-to-fail. This creates a moral hazard loop: risky behavior gets rewarded with bailouts, encouraging even more aggressive positioning. The question isn't whether the Fed will act, but how long this cycle can sustain before the costs of continuous money printing become unsustainable for the broader economy.
Bank leverage ratios are truly outrageous. I took a look at the scale of derivatives after 2008, and the increase is actually three times the GDP... I wouldn't be surprised if this thing blows up someday.
Can printing money long-term really solve the problem? It seems like just betting on the next crisis coming late enough.
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is still the safest way to invest; at least you don't have to gamble on the central bank's mood.