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#美联储降息 Wolter interviews the Federal Reserve Chair, Polymarket only gives a 14% probability? That probability is ridiculously low 🤔
Speaking of rate cut expectations, they've been overhyped for a while, but major events like a change in the Fed Chair are often hidden price drivers. Haskett's probability has surged to 56%, indicating the market has already reached a consensus—that this guy might really get the position.
The key point is, changing the Chair means the policy direction will shift. If the new nominee is more dovish than Powell, the rate cut cycle will definitely continue, which is a catalyst for altcoins and meme coins—high-leverage assets.
The current problem is—markets haven't fully priced this in yet. Major institutions are betting on Polymarket; when the final result is announced, if it's not the market's expected person, there could be a wave of retracement. But if Haskett takes the position? My goodness, that will be the real pump moment.
Stay alert, as these macro black swans can often move the entire market. 🚀