February 3, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), BTC is currently trading at $77,800. After a brief probe to $74,600 within 24 hours, it rebounded, with an increase of about 2%, indicating oversold correction. Overall, the market remains dominated by bears, with weak rebound momentum.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $7,900-$7,950/$8,000 (strong resistance); Support: $76,800/$75,000/$74,500 (strong support at $74,500).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment; price is below the 20-day moving average, indicating continued bearish pressure.
- RSI(14): 29-30, exiting extreme oversold territory; rebound is not a reversal.
- MACD( Daily): Bearish crossover persists; bearish momentum remains strong, with the histogram slightly narrowing.
- Volume: Rebound with decreasing volume; buying is insufficient, selling pressure has not been fully released.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by Type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $7,900-$7,950 during rebound, stop-loss at $8,020, target $7,750-$7,680, break below to watch $75,000-$74,500, position size ≤2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, add light positions in batches: around $76,800 (1-2%); add another 1-2% if $75,000 stabilizes, total position ≤3%, stop-loss below $74,000.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $74,500 is effectively broken, medium-term target is $72,000-$70,000; wait for weekly volume to decrease and RSI divergence before re-entering.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent chain liquidations during extreme volatility.
- Liquidity: Rebound with decreasing volume; beware of sharp pullbacks, control slippage risk.
- Correlation: Closely monitor US stocks, gold, and regulatory news; macro fluctuations may intensify volatility.
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