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The Fed has remained hawkish longer than expected, and this is harming the US economy.
• The labor market is weakening.
• Credit card defaults are increasing.
• Corporate bankruptcies are approaching 2008 crisis levels.
This picture shows that the Fed has made a serious policy mistake. With each passing day, the feeling that Trump's "Too Late Powell" statements were correct is growing stronger.
US consumer inflation (CPI) data was released today and generally received positively by the market.
According to the data for January 2026, annual inflation fell to 2.4%. This represents a drop from 2.7% in December and is slightly below the 2.5% expected by economists. On a monthly basis, prices increased by only 0.2%, which painted a calmer picture than expected.
Core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained at 2.5% annually, which was in line with expectations without any major surprises. Overall, inflation appears to be slowing; particularly influenced by falling gasoline prices and a slowdown in rent increases.
This result may keep expectations of an interest rate cut alive, but it also suggests that the Fed may not rush. We can say that the markets breathed a sigh of relief – a positive signal for stocks and risky assets.
The next CPI data (February) will be released on March 11, 2026.