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In the wild ride of Bitcoin, timing the peak is everything.
Picture this: if you peg the macro top a tad too high and the market crashes just below your mark, you hold on too long, sell nothing, and watch your gains evaporate in a matter of weeks.
I encourage you to remember the sentiment on X during peaks. It'll probably help you find red flags, warning signs. If you don't remember well, you can always check the charts, find where tops formed, and advance search the most followed mainstream media accounts, Saylor, and the usual larp-whales content during those times. You can find a lot of answers.
Now flip it: if you call the top for a lower level and it hits a smidge above, you can sell before the crash, lock in profits, and avoid most of the carnage.
Example with my macro extreme premium top call for Bitcoin at $115,000 and with a clear opportunity to short and sell more at the HTF 3rd drive on Bitcoin. I'd rather be that bit early than late. On spot, i want to sell before crashes, not during crashes or bottoms. Most people are afraid to sell too early, so they choose to follow the noise in this space, where it's everyone's opinion Vs a handful of traders [who also hold but not perpetually] opinions, even if those traders are right most of the time and many powerful charts are at extreme premium levels.
It's the brutal asymmetry of prediction. Undershoot and you're golden, but overshoot and you're wrecked. This is why being a clueless moonboy will always get you wrecked. Of course, ego is the silent assassin in this game. No one wants to admit they're wrecked because of their ego.
Razor-thin line between success and regret in this game.