$BTC

Topic of action: accumulation on rebound
The current market probability is distributed as short-term bullish 65% / bearish 35%, indicating a predominance of optimism but with a high volatility risk. The decisive factor remains BTC holding above 70,000 USDT with increasing volumes.

Bullish scenario: inflow of funds into ETFs and whale activity (purchasing **53,000 BTC** in a week) strengthen the upward momentum. MACD forms a positive divergence, and support from large traders (long-short > 1.48) confirms trend stability.
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 68,000 USDT, position size 30% of capital
Stop: 65,000 USDT
Target: 72,000 USDT

Bearish scenario: if the price breaks below **68,000 USDT**, a correction towards the **60,000 USDT** area may open, caused by whale profit-taking and the exit of speculative funds. RSI will approach 30–35, which will increase selling pressure.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 68,000 USDT
Stop: 70,500 USDT
Target: 60,000 USDT