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Margin Debt at Record High: Market Overheating Risk Grows
According to Real Investment Advice, the share of margin debt in the US's real disposable personal income has exceeded 6.0% for the first time.
This is more than twice the peak during the dot-com bubble in 2000.
Key Data:
— Nominal margin debt reached a record $1.2 trillion
— The indicator has been rising for 8 consecutive months
Historically, such spikes in debt load in the stock market have often ended with:
— Deep corrections
— Sharp declines in indices
— Forced reduction of leveraged positions
Growth in margin debt increases market vulnerability to negative triggers, as any price decline can trigger a cascade of liquidations.
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