Such a low "above 200-day SMA" ratio has acted as a signal of significant accumulation and bottoming in past cycles. Extreme weakness often brings strong rotation after a "washout." Analysts have begun talking about the possibility of an "altcoin season beginning," especially for March 2026 – but this time the rally is expected to be selective (to projects with solid fundamentals). Conclusion: While this 95% scenario is painful, historically, the "darkest" moments often create the best opportunities. A broad rally is difficult without a return to liquidity and a net outflow from BTC. It may be a time for patience and selective positioning – but without rushing. 🔹Current Situation and Warnings 🔸Most altcoins have lost an average of 81% of their value in the last year. 🔸The number of projects that remain in the green is very small. 🔸The altcoin/BTC trading volume ratio on CEXs has fallen to 2.2 (its 2025 peak was 3.5) → capital is still concentrated in Bitcoin. 🔸The Altcoin Season Index is around 43 points (above 75 indicates a true altcoin season).
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#95%ofAltsBelow200-daySMA
Such a low "above 200-day SMA" ratio has acted as a signal of significant accumulation and bottoming in past cycles. Extreme weakness often brings strong rotation after a "washout." Analysts have begun talking about the possibility of an "altcoin season beginning," especially for March 2026 – but this time the rally is expected to be selective (to projects with solid fundamentals). Conclusion: While this 95% scenario is painful, historically, the "darkest" moments often create the best opportunities. A broad rally is difficult without a return to liquidity and a net outflow from BTC. It may be a time for patience and selective positioning – but without rushing.
🔹Current Situation and Warnings
🔸Most altcoins have lost an average of 81% of their value in the last year.
🔸The number of projects that remain in the green is very small.
🔸The altcoin/BTC trading volume ratio on CEXs has fallen to 2.2 (its 2025 peak was 3.5) → capital is still concentrated in Bitcoin.
🔸The Altcoin Season Index is around 43 points (above 75 indicates a true altcoin season).