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Hey, this situation with the Strait of Hormuz seems to be heading toward full-scale war, but the situation is too fragmented. Think about it, the U.S. military's current deployment isn't even at the level of full-scale war. Remember, the U.S. always says “never fight unprepared”—back in the day, they spent over three months preparing to arrest Maduro, and Iran and Venezuela are not on the same level, with completely different geographical locations. So I dare to speculate: most likely, Israel took the lead this time, making the decision to fire first, forcing Trump to act.
Looking at the first round of clashes, the U.S. military definitely underperformed. They initially aimed for a “decapitation operation” but failed, and their retaliatory missiles weren’t intercepted either. Compared to the Iraq War and Gulf War back then, the gap is obvious. Why? I think it’s because they weren’t fully prepared and had to “strike first.” Just search for videos—those U.S. Gulf bases in Bahrain are billowing black smoke. That’s no small matter. Black smoke indicates that missiles probably hit oil depots or ammunition warehouses. If they had been fully prepared, wouldn’t the U.S. have known Iran would attack the bases? They would have pre-positioned defenses, so how come they couldn’t even intercept Iran’s subsonic missiles? This is clearly a case of being caught off guard.