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ETH 1960: The biggest mistake retail investors make is bringing emotions into an inhumane casino.
A few days ago, a friend who runs a brick-and-mortar business gave me a ride.
At a turn, his new car was rear-ended by an elderly man riding an electric bike.
The old man was terrified, but my friend was furious, thinking his car was brand new and he couldn't afford to lose out. He forced the old man to call his family, and in the end, the elderly woman brought over more than 10,000 yuan in cash. My friend issued a "fine" of 1,000 yuan and took the money to settle the matter.
I sat in the passenger seat, hardly saying a word the whole time. If this had been me, as long as no one was hurt, I would probably let the old man go directly, fix the scratch with a touch-up pen, and move on.
Why? It’s not because I’m more noble, but because our definitions of "friction" differ.
Many times when we encounter conflicts in society, we must first ask ourselves: are we after the result, or just trying to vent?
From childhood, we’re taught "a person should keep their dignity," and for that dignity, we curse each other on the street or even fight. But truly mature members of society understand how to turn the page quickly, without wasting emotional energy on entanglements.
What’s called "taking a loss" is often just admitting defeat. Solving problems quickly is the most efficient approach. This is called "social skills"—the ability to resolve trouble and keep the flow smooth.
In recent years in the crypto world, I’ve increasingly felt that market speculation and human relationships are essentially the same mold.
Look at retail investors now—why do they always get deeply trapped or even wiped out in short-term trading? Because they lack "social skills" and the ability to "turn the page."
When a trade hits stop-loss, it’s like a new car getting a scratch—instant loss of rationality. Instead of thinking about the next high-probability ambush, they insist on going all-in to fight the market makers, trying to recover that "1000 yuan" loss on the spot. Picking up peanuts but losing the watermelon.
And what’s the result? For the sake of a gamble, they get crushed along with their car by the main force’s heavy roller.
Put away your emotions and let me show you how to play today’s ETH hand.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around $1960. On a larger timeframe, this is still a wide-range "Five Finger Mountain" oscillation, with no breakthrough.
But in the short-term melee, the bulls are pushing hard, climbing out of the 1835 trap and rushing upward. The car is now halfway up the mountain, with the area around 1980 to 2000 being a heavy zone of previous trapped orders.
Are you now blindly chasing longs at this position? Then you’re just helping the main force lift the sedan, digest those trapped floating chips, and become cannon fodder.
Don’t rush to send your head—today’s script is focused on a low-long ambush, waiting for prey to walk into the trap:
Tactical direction: Low Long $ETH
Ambush zone: 1915 - 1935. Be patient and wait for a short-term pullback confirmation. This is the previous rally’s starting platform, the main force’s cost zone, not easy to break through.
Strict stop-loss: Unconditionally cut at 1880 if it falls below! This is called "cutting off an arm to survive." If it breaks, it means the underlying bullish logic is wrong. Admit defeat immediately, turn the page, don’t fall in love with the market makers, and don’t hold onto the hope of holding through the dip!
Partial take-profit: Reduce half at 1980; if it reaches around 2050, close all positions and walk away. Money that goes into your pocket is real money; the floating numbers in your account are just bait from the main force.
My old friend, who used to be a bank manager, once shared a brutally honest truth with me over tea.
He said that adults, especially traders, must learn to train their expectations. Don’t cling to "it should be like this," but understand that in the market, unmet expectations are the norm.
Stop-loss is a concrete manifestation of expectations falling short.
Understanding balance, knowing when to advance or retreat—that’s the only rule for survival.
You stay up late every night staring at the screen—are you really trying to see your account steadily grow, or just proving to the market that you "didn’t see it wrong"?