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AAVE's recent decline is truly a textbook example of a "gradual decline." I've given it a vivid nickname called "Old Lady Helping Up the Stairs."
What does that mean? It doesn't involve dramatic crashes or sudden one-day plunges. Instead, it moves down step by step, trembling and hesitant. This kind of decline is the most exhausting—dull knives cutting meat. It drops a little today, a little tomorrow. Retail investors see it as manageable, even holding onto hopes of a rebound, and naturally, they can't even complain. Unlike coins that get cut in half outright, which might cause people to buy the dip and rebound, this gentle decline is the easiest way to crush people's psychology. By the time you realize it, you're already deeply trapped.
The next script depends on whether the market gives face or not—whether we're truly entering a bear market. If the overall environment turns bearish, then AAVE dropping to around $50 is just normal. Even if the current price halves again, it would hit that strong support level. After all, in a bear market, valuation logic completely changes; squeezing out the excess is the top priority. If it's not a bear market, then most likely, it's just grinding sideways at this level, using time to buy space, washing out the weak hands.
As for short-term gains? Difficult, too difficult. It's not just about the market; it's also about "people." The entire AAVE team is undergoing a major shake-up, with significant internal adjustments. Old faces are leaving, new faces are coming in. It's like a football team suddenly replacing half of its starters—new tactics, new coordination—all needing time to gel. The team hasn't yet unified, and their energy isn't focused in one direction. How can they have the capacity to boost prices or manipulate the market? Without full-speed team effort, relying solely on retail traders' limited skills, how can they move such a large market cap?
So, the current strategy is simple: don't rush to buy the dip, and don't expect miracles. The company is still "renovating" internally, and us outsiders rushing won't help. Once the team is well-coordinated and the market stabilizes, it's not too late to enter. For now, holding back is the best move. $AAVE