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⚠️ The US economy is heading towards the worst-case scenario – stagflation
Since the start of the conflict between the US and Iran, oil prices have surged by 28%, reaching $90 per barrel. This could push inflation in the US up to 3% and slow economic growth to 1.1-1.2%.
This is classic stagflation: inflation is rising while the economy is slowing down.
The Fed is at an impasse: raising interest rates will slow the economy, while lowering them will boost inflation. The market's main hope is for a quick resolution to the conflict and a drop in oil prices.
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