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$BTC
The short-term growth probability is estimated at 45%, the decline probability at 55%; overall market sentiment is moderately bearish. Pressure from ETFs and negative net capital flow create potential for short-term decline; medium-term — a rebound may occur after fear stabilizes.
Bullish scenario: Support from US news background, renewed mining activity, and a high proportion of long positions among elite traders create a foundation for corrective growth.
Short-term buy 📈
Entry point: 66,000 USDT ( position size – 30%)
Stop-loss: 64,500 USDT
Take-profit: 72,600 USDT
Bearish scenario: ETF outflows – the main signal of weakening demand; RSI above **70** confirms overbought conditions; breaking through **66,000 USDT** likely triggers a correction.
Short-term sell 📉
Entry point: 67,000 USDT
Stop-loss: 69,500 USDT
Take-profit: 62,000 USDT