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Technical Analysis
1. Support Zone Validation
The price has returned to a significant horizontal Support Zone (highlighted in the lower red box) between approximately $105.00 and $108.00.
This area has historical significance, as seen on February 28th where a sharp bounce occurred.
The current price is showing signs of stabilization within this zone, suggesting that buyers are stepping back in.
2. Resistance Targets
The upper red box represents the immediate Resistance Zone (around $117.50 – $119.50). This was a previous support that turned into resistance after the price broke below it on March 6th. This is the logical first target for a recovery.
Trade Setup Parameters
Based on the long position tool (the green and red box on the right):
Entry Price: Approximately $107.82.
Take Profit (TP): Set at $118.61. This aligns with the top of the resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Set at $103.87. This is placed safely below the recent swing low and the support zone to protect against a deeper breakdown.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This appears to be roughly 2.7:1, which is a solid professional ratio.
Strategic Considerations
Candlestick Confirmation: Before committing, look for a bullish reversal pattern on the 15-minute or 1-hour chart (like a Bullish Engulfing or a Hammer) inside this support zone.
Volume: Watch for an increase in buying volume as price moves away from $107.80. Low volume on the bounce could indicate a "dead cat bounce" before further downside.
Market Context: AAVE often follows the broader crypto market (BTC/ETH). Ensure the overall market sentiment isn't bearish enough to drag AAVE through the support floor.