#加密市场上涨 History is always surprisingly similar. History repeats itself exactly. People never learn any lessons from history. Bitcoin halves every four years, and currently the block reward is 3.125 BTC every 10 minutes. The total supply is 21 million. Nearly 20 million have been mined. It's projected to be fully mined by 2140. Bitcoin this cycle will definitely break below the previous bull market peak of $69k. Starting now. Each bear market bottom needs to break below the previous bull market peak. The previous peak was $69k. So it will definitely break through $69k. And at $69k, a very strong support level will form. That is, $70k is very strong support. After breaking through, there will be a decent rebound. But the major cycle is still downward. How low will it go? According to historical halving cycles. December 2017 at $20k then crashed to below $3k by December 2018. A 85% crash. November 2021 Bitcoin at $69k. After a year of crash, the lowest point was December 2022 at $15.5k. A 77% crash. So this time Bitcoin's decline will be around 77%. That means Bitcoin won't fall below $30k. But Bitcoin will break through $69k. If it crashes around 65%, then the bottom would be around $45k. When Bitcoin is around $30-60k, it's suitable to position. At least below $60k, the most you can lose is 50% because $60k might crash to $30k. But below $60k is not suitable for going all-in at the bottom. It's also not suitable to continue shorting. Because the bottom is most likely around $30-50k. October 6, 2025, Bitcoin reached a high of $126.2k. Then after a year of crash, it would be around October 2026 for the lowest price. The market will also consolidate at the bottom for several months. Various panic emotions. When the panic index is around 10, you can position. Price at $30-60k. Time around end of 2026. Then keep holding until 2029. Bitcoin price around $150-250k to exit. At least a 2-8x space. This is only Bitcoin. We can imagine how many times SOL, HYPE and these trump cards would have? But big money will definitely be Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin's market share is 60%. If Bitcoin didn't make it, why play cryptocurrencies? Because all projects only want to steal your Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the ultimate form of cryptocurrency.$BTC