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The market is making a very specific bet: $75K on BTC.
Options data shows March 27 quarterly contracts already make up 40%+ of open interest — and a large chunk is positioned exactly for that ~$75K move.
This isn’t just sentiment.
This is capital committed to a level.
But here’s the catch:
The options market isn’t naïve — it’s often overconfident.
When everyone leans one way, the market usually: • Moves the opposite way
or
• Accelerates higher to trap late buyers
So the real question isn’t if $75K hits.
It’s how the market punishes the majority.