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Range Compression: Market Approaching the Bottom
Investors often search for the bottom through news, indicators, or market sentiment.
But sometimes the market itself leaves a fairly simple clue through its distribution structure.
Look at this chart.
The first distribution range lasted approximately 118 days.
Price consolidated sideways for an extended period as the market digested volume, followed by another downward movement.
The next range was shorter, approximately 80 days.
Another distribution, another accumulation of selling pressure, then a new wave of decline.
Now the current range, approximately 50 days.
What's interesting here is that each subsequent range is getting smaller.
This means the sellers:
- Have less time to build positions
- Have less price space to sell at higher levels
- Have less volume to sustain selling pressure
In other words, the sellers' power is gradually being depleted.
Speaking in the language of market mechanics, this looks like:
Weaker cause → Smaller effect.
When a market experiences a series of progressively compressed distribution ranges, this typically signals that downside momentum is weakening and approaching the point where selling pressure will be exhausted.
This doesn't necessarily mean the bottom has formed yet.
But it reveals another important moment:
The market is beginning to show signs of exhaustion.
If this dynamic continues, the next phase of the cycle may no longer be distribution, but accumulation.
Investors, have you noticed this range compression effect in other BTC cycles? I'm very interested in breaking down this topic with historical examples. Drop an emoji and I'll do this analysis.