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Has anyone seriously considered this scenario: Trump secretly reaching an agreement with Iran to jointly establish a "toll booth" in the Strait of Hormuz~
Sounds absurd? But Trump's logic has always been solely about interests — he's a developer, and what he sees is: a waterway through which 20% of global oil passes, with hundreds of ships daily, and no one collecting tolls. That's a huge missed business opportunity~
And Iran? Easing sanctions, taking a dignified step down, and casually collecting some toll fees—why not?~
If this scenario were true: oil prices wouldn't fall but rise (monopoly pricing), the dollar would strengthen, gold would trade sideways, and China's energy costs would directly increase — this is the real "America First" harvesting strategy~
Of course, this is just a wild idea. But the most absurd predictions in history are often called foresight in hindsight~
#霍尔木兹 #Trump #伊朗 #Geopolitics #CrudeOil