I am monitoring the situation in the Middle East, and here’s what many in the market are currently interested in. It appears that Trump is seriously considering the possibility of limited strikes against Iran. The plan involves targeted operations against specific military and government facilities, and all of this could happen within a few days after receiving the necessary authorization.

What’s behind this? Tensions in the region are rising due to Iran’s activity in uranium enrichment. American officials have even discussed more extensive operations, but no final decision has been made yet. It’s clear that this is not just for show — Trump is using this as leverage to achieve a new nuclear agreement.

However, the risks are real. Iran has already warned that it will consider all bases of hostile forces in the region legitimate targets for retaliation. This could quickly escalate into a more serious conflict, and tensions could only increase. Analysts estimate the probability of a U.S. strike at around 60% by the end of March.

This is important for the crypto market to watch because geopolitical events of this scale influence oil, currencies, and ultimately the entire risk-on sector. When tensions rise, volatility usually increases across all markets. It will be interesting to see how this develops further.