Don't be fooled, 90% of people in the crypto world die on the same path: mistaking luck for a pattern, emotions for signals, and luck for skill.
This morning, while walking in the park, I ran into Lao Yang, who used to trade coins with me. He was squatting on a stone bench smoking, looking worse than a candlestick chart.
I greeted him, but he didn’t look up, and threw me a heartbreaking comment: "Being too nice to people is just being stupid, buying the dip too early is just courting death."
I was stunned by these words. I know what happened to him last year. He used to be a very kind person, never refused friends borrowing money. A childhood friend lost big, asked him to lend 200,000 yuan, promising to pay it back once he made a comeback. Lao Yang, soft-hearted, gave it all.
But that person took the money and chased after high-altitude altcoins, ending up at zero. No money, just a life on the line, and then he blocked and disappeared.
He sharply pinched his cigarette and said, "I used to think that as long as I was sincere to others, they would be sincere to me. As long as I dared to buy and hold, the market would give me face.
Now I understand, human nature is like the market—TMD, the softer your heart, the more ruthless it gets; the more anxious you are, the more it tricks you."
One sentence woke me up. In dealing with people and the world, you can't be endlessly tolerant; in trading crypto, you must not buy the dip without principles. What you see as deep affection is taken for granted by others; what you see as buying the dip is just giving away your head in the market.
Look at the current market—does it look the same? BTC and ETH have fallen from their highs, almost half a year now. How many people are like Lao Yang?
They dip a little and shout "bottom," then rally a little and shout "bull market restart." Support levels are easily broken; so-called good news are just excuses to manipulate the market.
Stop comforting yourself. You think you're "lurking at the low," but you're actually "boiling the frog in warm water." You think you're "value investing," but you're actually "holding on and waiting to die."
This market is now a bottomless pit—your greed makes it even more brutal.
【Tactical Board】 (April 1, Short-term Practical)
Core direction: Focus on selling high, avoid bottom fishing, don’t fight the trend!
Bitcoin (BTC)
• Operation direction: Short on rebounds
• Entry zone (short entry area): 69000 - 69600
Logic: Recent rebound high point, strong resistance zone, declining volume, bulls unable to break through.
• Defensive position (stop-loss): 70200
Logic: Breaking this level indicates short-term bearish failure, admit mistakes and exit to protect capital.
• Take profit target: 67500-66800
Logic: Dense area of previous lows, some buying support, take profits early and secure gains.
Ethereum (ETH)
• Operation direction: Short on rebounds
• Entry zone (short entry area): 2140-2200
Logic: Linked with BTC, key round number + Bollinger Band upper band, concentrated short zone.
• Defensive position (stop-loss): 2230
Logic: Breakthrough here, short-term trend turns strong, risk of short positions increases sharply, cut losses decisively.
• Take profit target: 2060-2000
Logic: Key round number, psychological barrier, prone to panic selling.
【Final Advice】
There are no winners in the crypto world who are soft-hearted—only survivors who follow strict rules.
Respect the market, not because you're afraid of it, but because you recognize its toxicity and control your own hands.
Today's restraint is to ensure you can still eat meat tomorrow.
$BTC $ETH
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