Hawkish Federal Reserve + Negative Data | $ETH Remain Bullish on the Highs Main Negative Factors 📄 1. Federal Reserve officials collectively hawkish: unified stance of not rushing to cut rates, high interest rates will persist longer, directly suppressing risk assets 2. Employment and economic data are relatively strong: economic resilience and stable employment, no reason for the Fed to cut rates, continuing tightening expectations 3. Rising oil prices boost inflation: geopolitical conflicts drive oil prices higher, inflation rebound risks increase, rate cut expectations are further delayed $ETH Short-term Market Outlook 💡 The originally scheduled non-farm payroll report tonight has been postponed due to market closure, to be announced next Monday. In the next three days, US stock markets will be closed, trading will be light during the holiday, The market is likely to fluctuate within a narrow range with weak momentum, Strong rebounds are unlikely, and the overall bearish structure remains unchanged. Previously, short positions at 2137–2155, with a low of 2015, The current rebound was met with resistance at the Fibonacci 0.382 level, Personally, I expect the market to develop a five-wave downward structure, gradually approaching the target zone. ✅ Core Strategy: Short on rebounds, follow the trend 🎯 Rebound short entry points: 2075-2079, 2109-2122 🎯 Short-term targets below: 2020-2025, 1957-1969 🎯 Ultimate target: 1838-1865 Advised not to fight the trend and buy the dip, instead look for high-probability short entries on rebounds. Stay focused, wait patiently for the trend to develop naturally. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

Collapse + Regulatory Double Boost! Is this rally actually getting stronger secretly? On the surface, it's bad news: 👉DRIFT crashes 👉$220 million stolen But from a different perspective: 👉Risk clearance 👉Regulatory support This is actually a classic pattern—first a shock, then regulation, then a rise. Market logic is simple: No shock → no risk awareness After a shock → rules improve → big funds dare to enter The significance of the 《GENIUS Act》 lies here: 👉Clearer path to legalize stablecoins 👉Lower barriers for institutional participation 👉On-chain extension of the dollar system So, how to view the market? Short-term: panic and volatility Mid-term: capital reflows Long-term: structural bull market Suggested strategies: * Compliant stablecoin ecosystem * ETH re-staking (yield + security) * AI + Crypto (narrative resistant to dips) To sum up: the market doesn’t rise because of good news, but because it’s “more certain.” 👉Comments: Do you think the real bull market starts with “regulation”? #加密市场行情震荡