Don't be fooled, 90% of people in the crypto world die on the same path
Mistaking luck for a rule, emotions for signals, and luck for strength.
This morning, I was taking a walk in the park when I ran into Lao Yang, who used to trade coins with me. He was squatting on a stone bench smoking, looking worse than a candlestick chart.
I greeted him, but he didn’t look up and threw me a heartbreaking comment: "Being too nice to people is asking for trouble; buying the bottom too early is asking for death."
That made me pause. I know what happened to him last year. He used to be a very kind person, never refused friends borrowing money. A childhood friend lost big, asked him to lend 200,000 yuan, promised to pay it back once he made a comeback. Lao Yang, soft-hearted, gave it all.
But that person took the money, chased after high-priced altcoins, and ended up with zero. No money, only a life at risk, and then he blocked Lao Yang and disappeared.
He snapped his cigarette and said, "I used to think that as long as I was sincere to people, they would be sincere to me. As long as I dared to buy and hold, the market would give me face.
Now I understand—people’s hearts are like the market. The softer you are, the more ruthless it gets; the more anxious you are, the more it tricks you."
That one sentence woke me up. In dealing with people and the world, you can't be endlessly tolerant; in trading crypto, you must not buy the bottom without principles. What you see as deep affection is taken for granted by others; what you see as bottom-fishing is just sending your head to the market.
Look at the current market—does it look the same? BTC and ETH have fallen from their highs, almost half a year now. How many people are like Lao Yang?
They call "bottom" at the slightest dip, and shout "bull market restart" at every green candle. The so-called support levels break easily; the so-called good news are just excuses to manipulate the market.
Stop comforting yourself. You think you’re "lurking at the low," but actually you’re "boiling the frog in warm water." You think you’re "value investing," but really you’re "holding on and waiting to die."
This market is now a bottomless pit—your greed makes it even more brutal.
【Tactical Board】 (April 1 Short-term Practical)
Core direction: Focus on short positions, avoid bottom-fishing, don’t fight the trend!
Bitcoin (BTC)
• Trading direction: Short on rebounds
• Entry zone (short entry area): 69,000 - 69,600
Logic: Recent rebound high, strong resistance zone, declining volume, bulls unable to break through.
• Defensive position (stop-loss): 70,200
Logic: Break above this level indicates short-term bearish failure; admit mistake and exit to protect capital.
• Take-profit target: 67,500 - 66,800
Logic: Dense support around previous lows, some buying interest, take profits early.
Ethereum (ETH)
• Trading direction: Short on rebounds
• Entry zone (short entry area): 2,140 - 2,200
Logic: Correlates with BTC, psychological level + upper Bollinger Band, concentrated short zone.
• Defensive position (stop-loss): 2,230
Logic: Break above this point indicates a trend reversal to bullish, risk of short increases sharply, cut losses decisively.
• Take-profit target: 2,060 - 2,000
Logic: Key psychological level, easy to trigger panic selling.
【Final Advice】
There are no winners in the crypto world who are soft-hearted; only survivors who follow strict rules.
Respect the market—not out of fear,
but to recognize its toxicity and control your hands.
Today’s restraint is for the sake of still being able to eat meat tomorrow.
