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#Fed Meeting Minutes
5 月 29 日,聯準會會議紀要提到,工作人員對 2025 年和 2026 年實際 GDP 增長的預測低於 3 月會議的預測,因爲宣布的貿易政策意味着,與之前預測中假設的政策相比,實體經濟活動將受到更顯著的影響。預計貿易政策還將導致生產率增長放緩,從而降低未來幾年的潛在 GDP 增長。由於預計需求拖累將更早開始並且大於供應響應,因此預計在預測期內產出缺口將顯着擴大。預計勞動力市場將大幅走弱,預計到今年年底,失業率將高於員工對自然失業率的估計,並將在 2027 年之前一直高於自然失業率。