#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 Bitcoin's weekly increase exceeds 9%, is it still a trap or a dawn? Bitcoin and Ethereum jointly strengthen, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost global risk appetite, combined with easing U.S. core inflation pressures, the crypto market follows the US stock market in a synchronized rebound. Short sellers facing large-scale squeeze amid continuous upward push, market leverage betting intensifies. But overall fear sentiment has not yet dissipated; weekend negotiations' progress will determine the short-term direction. Strategy Analysis BTC Short-term Strategy Long position entry points (breakout follow-up): Buy after a confirmed breakout and stabilization above $73,300 Target points: first target $74,000, second target $75,300 Stop-loss point: fall below $71,800 for short strategy (resistance pullback) Entry point: $72,900 - $73,300 when rebound is blocked Target points: first target $71,500, second target $70,467 - $70,500 Stop-loss point: effectively stabilize above $74,000 Operational principles: reasonably control leverage, keep position size under 10%, strictly set take profit and stop loss, avoid chasing highs and selling lows. ETH Short-term Strategy Long position entry points (breakout follow-up): Buy after volume breakout and stabilization above $2,270 Target points: first target $2,300 - $2,320, second target $2,344 Stop-loss point: fall below $2,225 Short strategy (resistance pullback): Entry point: $2,245 - $2,260 when rebound is blocked Target points: first target $2,180 - $2,200, second target $2,150 - $2,165 Stop-loss point: effectively stabilize above $2,275 Intra-day, focus on high sell and low buy, wait for clear signals before re-entering: Weekend ceasefire negotiations are sensitive, reduce positions Shorting under negative interest rates should consider holding costs Market Analysis Bitcoin Bitcoin's current price is about $72,800, trading within a range of $70,428 to $73,450 in 24 hours. The key short-term support level this weekend is at $69,922, resistance at $73,450. Overall, it is in a "high volatility transition period"—shifting from war risk premium to ceasefire risk premium. The first key resistance and support: First support: $70,428 (core support on 4-hour chart), holding this maintains short-term upward momentum. Second support: $69,922 (short-term critical support), a break below this will directly test the $68,000 region. First resistance: $73,450 (short-term critical resistance), a valid breakout requires volume confirmation. Second resistance: $74,000 (main resistance zone), closing above this would be a strong bullish signal. Ethereum Ethereum's current price is around $2,240, with a 24-hour increase of about 1.5%, fluctuating within the $2,200-$2,270 range. The hourly chart shows ETH has broken through the $2,150 resistance formed by a contracting triangle, indicating bulls are gradually regaining control. The overall trend remains range-bound, but short-term momentum is improving. Key support and resistance: First support: $2,200 (critical support zone), where a daily correction can be effectively supported. Core support: $2,156-$2,165 (EMA50 support + 50% Fibonacci retracement), a break below tests $2,120. First resistance: $2,250-$2,270 (key breakout confirmation level), a valid breakout and stabilization will open upward space. Second resistance: $2,320-$2,350 (mid-term target zone). BTC's indicator structure is "daily strong + 4-hour warning," leaning towards high-level oscillation; ETH is "4-hour recovery + daily weakness," at the end of volatility contraction, weekend news could be a catalyst for direction choice.

Once the direction is off course, effort becomes futile and like rowing against the current. A train can roar for thousands of miles because the locomotive chooses the right track. The market is never short of opportunities, but if you charge around blindly like a headless fly, no matter how many windfalls there are, they won't move your profits. $SOL $ETH $BTC #Gate上线Pre-IPOs #原油小幅上涨 #Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三

- Ethereum Price Expectations: Increased Demand for Derivatives Boosted Ethereum Price After Ceasefire Between the US and Iran: Ethereum Price Today: $2,230 Ethereum (ETH) has shown a significant improvement in its key indicators on the blockchain following the ceasefire announcement between the US and Iran on Tuesday, according to an analysis by Crypto Quant. The leading altcoin rose by 6% within 24 hours of the announcement, marking its biggest daily gain in over a month. In a report released late Thursday, the cryptocurrency analysis firm highlighted that the dollar-denominated open trading volume for Ethereum had surged by $2.2 billion, approaching levels last seen nearly a month ago. CryptoQuant analysts wrote: "Most importantly, the coin-denominated open interest has increased significantly [...] ruling out short position liquidations as the main driver and confirming that traders are opening new net long positions." Ethereum open interest data. Source: Crypto Quant The report also pointed to a continuous upward trend in the buy-sell ratio for Ethereum, indicating that buyers are dominating the altcoin’s perpetual futures market. The "buy-sell ratio" index measures the trading volume difference between buyers and sellers in perpetual futures markets. A similar stance was observed among Bitcoin (BTC) traders, suggesting they expect a steady improvement in macroeconomic conditions, "at least in the short term," the analysts wrote. Buy-sell ratio between Ethereum and Bitcoin. Source: Crypto Quant Meanwhile, Coinbase’s prominent Ethereum index turned upward, indicating increased US demand. The report stated: "If the ceasefire holds and no escalation news emerges over the next two weeks, Coinbase’s index could maintain its upward trend, supporting a bullish price trajectory." $ETH ‌ $BTC ‌